Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs point to an overnight low in New York City near 70°F on August 4, supported by a mild maritime air mass, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling. Dew-point temperatures around 65–68°F and minimal cloud cover overnight are key variables keeping the low from dropping into the upper 60s, while any slight increase in wind or moisture could push readings lower. Historical August climatology at Central Park shows typical lows near 68–70°F, making current conditions slightly above average. Trader consensus between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in final model guidance and station-specific measurements at LaGuardia or Central Park, with resolution hinging on the official minimum reported before midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 4 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 4 августа?
70-71°F 62%
68-69°F 39%
64-65°F 3%
66-67°F 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 авг. 2026 г.
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
62%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 62%
68-69°F 39%
64-65°F 3%
66-67°F 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 авг. 2026 г.
59°F or below
$410 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$111 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$372 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$497 Объем
3%
66-67°F
$660 Объем
2%
68-69°F
$1,805 Объем
39%
70-71°F
$375 Объем
62%
72-73°F
$1,399 Объем
<1%
74-75°F
$1,965 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$775 Объем
<1%
78°F or higher
$424 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs point to an overnight low in New York City near 70°F on August 4, supported by a mild maritime air mass, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling. Dew-point temperatures around 65–68°F and minimal cloud cover overnight are key variables keeping the low from dropping into the upper 60s, while any slight increase in wind or moisture could push readings lower. Historical August climatology at Central Park shows typical lows near 68–70°F, making current conditions slightly above average. Trader consensus between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in final model guidance and station-specific measurements at LaGuardia or Central Park, with resolution hinging on the official minimum reported before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Объем
$8,793Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs point to an overnight low in New York City near 70°F on August 4, supported by a mild maritime air mass, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling. Dew-point temperatures around 65–68°F and minimal cloud cover overnight are key variables keeping the low from dropping into the upper 60s, while any slight increase in wind or moisture could push readings lower. Historical August climatology at Central Park shows typical lows near 68–70°F, making current conditions slightly above average. Trader consensus between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in final model guidance and station-specific measurements at LaGuardia or Central Park, with resolution hinging on the official minimum reported before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,793Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs point to an overnight low in New York City near 70°F on August 4, supported by a mild maritime air mass, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits radiative cooling. Dew-point temperatures around 65–68°F and minimal cloud cover overnight are key variables keeping the low from dropping into the upper 60s, while any slight increase in wind or moisture could push readings lower. Historical August climatology at Central Park shows typical lows near 68–70°F, making current conditions slightly above average. Trader consensus between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in final model guidance and station-specific measurements at LaGuardia or Central Park, with resolution hinging on the official minimum reported before midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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