Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C for coastal Qingdao on August 4 under generally clear conditions, aligning with early-August climatology slightly above the long-term 29–30°C average. Trader consensus nevertheless clusters around 34–35°C because ensemble spreads, local urban heating, and potential weaker onshore flow introduce upside uncertainty of 2–4°C above guidance. The tight distribution between 33°C and 36°C+ reflects this forecast variability rather than strong consensus on any single outcome, with resolution hinging on the official maximum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Циндао 4 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Циндао 4 августа?
34°C 37%
35°C 26%
33°C 20%
36°C или выше 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 авг. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
20%
34°C
37%
35°C
26%
36°C или выше
19%
34°C 37%
35°C 26%
33°C 20%
36°C или выше 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 авг. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$353 Объем
<1%
27°C
$443 Объем
<1%
28°C
$433 Объем
<1%
29°C
$42 Объем
<1%
30°C
$27 Объем
1%
31°C
$33 Объем
1%
32°C
$36 Объем
5%
33°C
$4 Объем
20%
34°C
$86 Объем
37%
35°C
$70 Объем
26%
36°C или выше
$626 Объем
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C for coastal Qingdao on August 4 under generally clear conditions, aligning with early-August climatology slightly above the long-term 29–30°C average. Trader consensus nevertheless clusters around 34–35°C because ensemble spreads, local urban heating, and potential weaker onshore flow introduce upside uncertainty of 2–4°C above guidance. The tight distribution between 33°C and 36°C+ reflects this forecast variability rather than strong consensus on any single outcome, with resolution hinging on the official maximum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$2,153Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C for coastal Qingdao on August 4 under generally clear conditions, aligning with early-August climatology slightly above the long-term 29–30°C average. Trader consensus nevertheless clusters around 34–35°C because ensemble spreads, local urban heating, and potential weaker onshore flow introduce upside uncertainty of 2–4°C above guidance. The tight distribution between 33°C and 36°C+ reflects this forecast variability rather than strong consensus on any single outcome, with resolution hinging on the official maximum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,153Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C for coastal Qingdao on August 4 under generally clear conditions, aligning with early-August climatology slightly above the long-term 29–30°C average. Trader consensus nevertheless clusters around 34–35°C because ensemble spreads, local urban heating, and potential weaker onshore flow introduce upside uncertainty of 2–4°C above guidance. The tight distribution between 33°C and 36°C+ reflects this forecast variability rather than strong consensus on any single outcome, with resolution hinging on the official maximum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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