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Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 2 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 2 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 2 августа?

авг. 1

авг. 2

авг. 1

авг. 2

13°C 56%

12°C 32%

14°C 10%

11°C 4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$15,210 Объем

13°C 56%

12°C 32%

14°C 10%

11°C 4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$15,210 Объем

6°C or below

$372 Объем

<1%

7°C

$382 Объем

<1%

8°C

$392 Объем

<1%

9°C

$392 Объем

<1%

10°C

$1,274 Объем

<1%

11°C

$2,430 Объем

4%

12°C

$2,957 Объем

32%

13°C

$2,787 Объем

56%

14°C

$2,423 Объем

10%

15°C

$1,464 Объем

3%

16°C or higher

$337 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders favor a 13°C high for Wellington on August 2 at 55.5% implied probability, followed by 12°C at 32%, reflecting model consensus for near-average winter conditions in the region. Long-term August maxima average around 12–13°C, and NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures through the period. Short-range forecasts from agencies such as MetService indicate southerly flow and limited diurnal warming that should keep the daily peak close to these values, with only modest upside risk if a transient ridge develops. Recent days have shown highs fluctuating between 10–14°C without extremes, reinforcing trader positioning around the historical baseline rather than significant deviations. Updated model runs and official observations on August 2 will resolve the market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$15,210
Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders favor a 13°C high for Wellington on August 2 at 55.5% implied probability, followed by 12°C at 32%, reflecting model consensus for near-average winter conditions in the region. Long-term August maxima average around 12–13°C, and NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest likelihood to near-average temperatures through the period. Short-range forecasts from agencies such as MetService indicate southerly flow and limited diurnal warming that should keep the daily peak close to these values, with only modest upside risk if a transient ridge develops. Recent days have shown highs fluctuating between 10–14°C without extremes, reinforcing trader positioning around the historical baseline rather than significant deviations. Updated model runs and official observations on August 2 will resolve the market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$15,210
Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 2 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «13°C» с 56%, за ним следует «12°C» с 32%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 56¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 56%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 2 августа?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $15.2K с момента запуска рынка Jul 31, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 2 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 2 августа?» — «13°C» с 56%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 56%. Следующий ближайший исход — «12°C» с 32%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 2 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.