Current forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office project a minimum temperature near 21°C in Paris on August 4, driven by a stable high-pressure system with light winds and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–22°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, or urban heat-island retention can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Clearer conditions would favor the lower tail (≤20°C) through enhanced long-wave radiation loss, while increased moisture or calm winds would support the higher side near 22°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 4 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 4 августа?
21°C 35%
22°C 27%
20°C или ниже 24%
23°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
24%
21°C
35%
22°C
27%
23°C
12%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
21°C 35%
22°C 27%
20°C или ниже 24%
23°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$137 Объем
24%
21°C
$187 Объем
35%
22°C
$86 Объем
27%
23°C
$212 Объем
12%
24°C
$122 Объем
8%
25°C
$36 Объем
2%
26°C
$75 Объем
<1%
27°C
$71 Объем
<1%
28°C
$81 Объем
<1%
29°C
$81 Объем
<1%
30°C или выше
$59 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office project a minimum temperature near 21°C in Paris on August 4, driven by a stable high-pressure system with light winds and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–22°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, or urban heat-island retention can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Clearer conditions would favor the lower tail (≤20°C) through enhanced long-wave radiation loss, while increased moisture or calm winds would support the higher side near 22°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,148Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office project a minimum temperature near 21°C in Paris on August 4, driven by a stable high-pressure system with light winds and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–22°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, or urban heat-island retention can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Clearer conditions would favor the lower tail (≤20°C) through enhanced long-wave radiation loss, while increased moisture or calm winds would support the higher side near 22°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,148Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and the Met Office project a minimum temperature near 21°C in Paris on August 4, driven by a stable high-pressure system with light winds and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–22°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, or urban heat-island retention can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Clearer conditions would favor the lower tail (≤20°C) through enhanced long-wave radiation loss, while increased moisture or calm winds would support the higher side near 22°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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