Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Paris's maximum temperature on August 2, 2026, reflecting a stable anticyclone advecting warmer subtropical air northward under mostly clear skies. Current guidance shows afternoon highs near 32–33°C with limited diurnal variability and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping extremes below 35°C unlikely. This aligns with climatological late-summer baselines while incorporating short-term model consensus on steering patterns and surface heating. Traders are weighting these probabilities heavily because resolution depends on official Météo-France observations, and fresh model runs or minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the exact peak within the narrow 31–33°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 2 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 2 августа?
32°C 48%
31°C 23%
33°C 23%
30°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
23%
32°C
48%
33°C
23%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
31°C 23%
33°C 23%
30°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$315 Объем
1%
29°C
$163 Объем
2%
30°C
$431 Объем
6%
31°C
$1,201 Объем
23%
32°C
$471 Объем
48%
33°C
$509 Объем
23%
34°C
$518 Объем
3%
35°C
$109 Объем
1%
36°C
$116 Объем
1%
37°C
$152 Объем
<1%
38°C or higher
$197 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Paris's maximum temperature on August 2, 2026, reflecting a stable anticyclone advecting warmer subtropical air northward under mostly clear skies. Current guidance shows afternoon highs near 32–33°C with limited diurnal variability and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping extremes below 35°C unlikely. This aligns with climatological late-summer baselines while incorporating short-term model consensus on steering patterns and surface heating. Traders are weighting these probabilities heavily because resolution depends on official Météo-France observations, and fresh model runs or minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the exact peak within the narrow 31–33°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$4,183Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Paris's maximum temperature on August 2, 2026, reflecting a stable anticyclone advecting warmer subtropical air northward under mostly clear skies. Current guidance shows afternoon highs near 32–33°C with limited diurnal variability and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping extremes below 35°C unlikely. This aligns with climatological late-summer baselines while incorporating short-term model consensus on steering patterns and surface heating. Traders are weighting these probabilities heavily because resolution depends on official Météo-France observations, and fresh model runs or minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the exact peak within the narrow 31–33°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,183Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models position 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Paris's maximum temperature on August 2, 2026, reflecting a stable anticyclone advecting warmer subtropical air northward under mostly clear skies. Current guidance shows afternoon highs near 32–33°C with limited diurnal variability and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping extremes below 35°C unlikely. This aligns with climatological late-summer baselines while incorporating short-term model consensus on steering patterns and surface heating. Traders are weighting these probabilities heavily because resolution depends on official Météo-France observations, and fresh model runs or minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture could still nudge the exact peak within the narrow 31–33°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы