Current Met Office forecasts show London reaching a daytime maximum of 27°C on August 2 under building high pressure, with light winds and increasing sunshine that favors daytime warming from a southerly air mass. This aligns with the summer's above-average maximum temperatures across southern England (running roughly 2–3°C above the long-term mean) and supports the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C. Ensemble guidance from global models indicates limited spread around this value, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or frontal approaches could trim or add 1°C. Traders appear to price in the high-resolution consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty near the 26–28°C thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 2 августа?
27°C 45%
26°C 24%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
$23,506 Объем
$23,506 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
9%
26°C
24%
27°C
45%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
26°C 24%
28°C 18%
25°C 9%
$23,506 Объем
$23,506 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
9%
26°C
24%
27°C
45%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office forecasts show London reaching a daytime maximum of 27°C on August 2 under building high pressure, with light winds and increasing sunshine that favors daytime warming from a southerly air mass. This aligns with the summer's above-average maximum temperatures across southern England (running roughly 2–3°C above the long-term mean) and supports the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C. Ensemble guidance from global models indicates limited spread around this value, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or frontal approaches could trim or add 1°C. Traders appear to price in the high-resolution consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty near the 26–28°C thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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