Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the low 70s for New York City on August 5, driven by a warm, humid airmass with southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF show modest uncertainty around the exact minimum, hinging on the timing of any showers, boundary-layer mixing, and wind speeds that could either enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 70–73°F bins, while lower outcomes would require clearer skies and calmer conditions than currently projected. Historical August normals near 68–70°F provide context, but the present pattern favors a warmer floor absent a stronger cold front. Updated model runs and NWS forecasts tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 5 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 5 августа?
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 28%
68-69°F 16%
66-67°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
57°F или ниже
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
4%
76°F или выше
2%
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 28%
68-69°F 16%
66-67°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
57°F или ниже
$37 Объем
1%
58-59°F
$37 Объем
1%
60-61°F
$37 Объем
1%
62-63°F
$18 Объем
1%
64-65°F
$171 Объем
2%
66-67°F
$0 Объем
11%
68-69°F
$43 Объем
16%
70-71°F
$16 Объем
37%
72-73°F
$20 Объем
28%
74-75°F
$767 Объем
4%
76°F или выше
$151 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the low 70s for New York City on August 5, driven by a warm, humid airmass with southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF show modest uncertainty around the exact minimum, hinging on the timing of any showers, boundary-layer mixing, and wind speeds that could either enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 70–73°F bins, while lower outcomes would require clearer skies and calmer conditions than currently projected. Historical August normals near 68–70°F provide context, but the present pattern favors a warmer floor absent a stronger cold front. Updated model runs and NWS forecasts tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Объем
$1,295Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the low 70s for New York City on August 5, driven by a warm, humid airmass with southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF show modest uncertainty around the exact minimum, hinging on the timing of any showers, boundary-layer mixing, and wind speeds that could either enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 70–73°F bins, while lower outcomes would require clearer skies and calmer conditions than currently projected. Historical August normals near 68–70°F provide context, but the present pattern favors a warmer floor absent a stronger cold front. Updated model runs and NWS forecasts tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,295Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the low 70s for New York City on August 5, driven by a warm, humid airmass with southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads in the GFS and ECMWF show modest uncertainty around the exact minimum, hinging on the timing of any showers, boundary-layer mixing, and wind speeds that could either enhance or suppress nocturnal cooling. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 70–73°F bins, while lower outcomes would require clearer skies and calmer conditions than currently projected. Historical August normals near 68–70°F provide context, but the present pattern favors a warmer floor absent a stronger cold front. Updated model runs and NWS forecasts tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы