National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 4, 2026, call for partly sunny skies with only a 20% chance of showers or thunderstorms and a high near 82°F, establishing the primary driver behind the market's concentration around the 82–85°F range. Cloud cover and any convective activity would suppress surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while light southeast winds limit mixing of warmer air aloft. This aligns with recent model consensus and follows a period of unsettled weather on August 3 that kept highs near or below seasonal norms. Traders appear to weigh the balance between modest daytime recovery potential under partial sun versus cooling from scattered storms, with upcoming afternoon observations from Central Park and other official stations likely to refine resolution probabilities as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 4 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 4 августа?
84-85°F 46%
82-83°F 22%
80–81°F 14%
86-87°F 14%
НОВОЕ
$16,758 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,758 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
73°F или ниже
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80–81°F
14%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
46%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F или выше
<1%
84-85°F 46%
82-83°F 22%
80–81°F 14%
86-87°F 14%
НОВОЕ
$16,758 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,758 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
73°F или ниже
$483 Объем
<1%
74-75°F
$508 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$806 Объем
<1%
78-79°F
$2,847 Объем
2%
80–81°F
$2,791 Объем
14%
82-83°F
$1,192 Объем
22%
84-85°F
$2,243 Объем
46%
86-87°F
$1,806 Объем
14%
88-89°F
$2,139 Объем
3%
90-91°F
$1,470 Объем
<1%
92°F или выше
$473 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 4, 2026, call for partly sunny skies with only a 20% chance of showers or thunderstorms and a high near 82°F, establishing the primary driver behind the market's concentration around the 82–85°F range. Cloud cover and any convective activity would suppress surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while light southeast winds limit mixing of warmer air aloft. This aligns with recent model consensus and follows a period of unsettled weather on August 3 that kept highs near or below seasonal norms. Traders appear to weigh the balance between modest daytime recovery potential under partial sun versus cooling from scattered storms, with upcoming afternoon observations from Central Park and other official stations likely to refine resolution probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$16,758Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 4, 2026, call for partly sunny skies with only a 20% chance of showers or thunderstorms and a high near 82°F, establishing the primary driver behind the market's concentration around the 82–85°F range. Cloud cover and any convective activity would suppress surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while light southeast winds limit mixing of warmer air aloft. This aligns with recent model consensus and follows a period of unsettled weather on August 3 that kept highs near or below seasonal norms. Traders appear to weigh the balance between modest daytime recovery potential under partial sun versus cooling from scattered storms, with upcoming afternoon observations from Central Park and other official stations likely to refine resolution probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$16,758Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 4, 2026, call for partly sunny skies with only a 20% chance of showers or thunderstorms and a high near 82°F, establishing the primary driver behind the market's concentration around the 82–85°F range. Cloud cover and any convective activity would suppress surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while light southeast winds limit mixing of warmer air aloft. This aligns with recent model consensus and follows a period of unsettled weather on August 3 that kept highs near or below seasonal norms. Traders appear to weigh the balance between modest daytime recovery potential under partial sun versus cooling from scattered storms, with upcoming afternoon observations from Central Park and other official stations likely to refine resolution probabilities as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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