Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang legislator representing Kinmen, holds an overwhelming market lead following the party's March 2026 nomination of her as its sole candidate for county magistrate in the November 29 local elections. Kinmen has long functioned as a KMT stronghold in Taiwan's offshore islands, with limited success for the Democratic Progressive Party or other parties in magistrate races, and Chen's profile as a vocal defender of local interests aligns with that pattern. Weaker showings for figures such as Li Wen-liang reflect the absence of comparably organized or endorsed challengers to date. Market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency-style party support and the timeline remaining until votes are cast, while leaving room for late developments that could alter the field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧэнь Юйжэнь 85%
Ли Вэньлян 13%
Лян Вэньтао 2.9%
Ян Чэну <1%

Чэнь Юйжэнь
85%

Ли Вэньлян
13%

Лян Вэньтао
3%

Ян Чэну
1%
Чэнь Юйжэнь 85%
Ли Вэньлян 13%
Лян Вэньтао 2.9%
Ян Чэну <1%

Чэнь Юйжэнь
85%

Ли Вэньлян
13%

Лян Вэньтао
3%

Ян Чэну
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang legislator representing Kinmen, holds an overwhelming market lead following the party's March 2026 nomination of her as its sole candidate for county magistrate in the November 29 local elections. Kinmen has long functioned as a KMT stronghold in Taiwan's offshore islands, with limited success for the Democratic Progressive Party or other parties in magistrate races, and Chen's profile as a vocal defender of local interests aligns with that pattern. Weaker showings for figures such as Li Wen-liang reflect the absence of comparably organized or endorsed challengers to date. Market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency-style party support and the timeline remaining until votes are cast, while leaving room for late developments that could alter the field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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