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icon for Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзиньмэнь

Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзиньмэнь

icon for Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзиньмэнь

Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзиньмэнь

Чэнь Юйжэнь 85%

Ли Вэньлян 13%

Лян Вэньтао 2.9%

Ян Чэну <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Чэнь Юйжэнь 85%

Ли Вэньлян 13%

Лян Вэньтао 2.9%

Ян Чэну <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Чэнь Юйжэнь

Чэнь Юйжэнь

$1,900 Объем

85%

icon for Ли Вэньлян

Ли Вэньлян

$376 Объем

13%

icon for Лян Вэньтао

Лян Вэньтао

$240 Объем

3%

icon for Ян Чэну

Ян Чэну

$241 Объем

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang legislator representing Kinmen, holds an overwhelming market lead following the party's March 2026 nomination of her as its sole candidate for county magistrate in the November 29 local elections. Kinmen has long functioned as a KMT stronghold in Taiwan's offshore islands, with limited success for the Democratic Progressive Party or other parties in magistrate races, and Chen's profile as a vocal defender of local interests aligns with that pattern. Weaker showings for figures such as Li Wen-liang reflect the absence of comparably organized or endorsed challengers to date. Market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency-style party support and the timeline remaining until votes are cast, while leaving room for late developments that could alter the field.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$2,758
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang legislator representing Kinmen, holds an overwhelming market lead following the party's March 2026 nomination of her as its sole candidate for county magistrate in the November 29 local elections. Kinmen has long functioned as a KMT stronghold in Taiwan's offshore islands, with limited success for the Democratic Progressive Party or other parties in magistrate races, and Chen's profile as a vocal defender of local interests aligns with that pattern. Weaker showings for figures such as Li Wen-liang reflect the absence of comparably organized or endorsed challengers to date. Market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency-style party support and the timeline remaining until votes are cast, while leaving room for late developments that could alter the field.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$2,758
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзиньмэнь» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Чэнь Юйжэнь» с 85%, за ним следует «Ли Вэньлян» с 13%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 85¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 85%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзиньмэнь» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 14, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзиньмэнь», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзиньмэнь» — «Чэнь Юйжэнь» с 85%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 85%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Ли Вэньлян» с 13%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Цзиньмэнь» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.