Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall's strong position in deep-red Kansas, where the party has dominated Senate races for decades, underpins the 80.5% trader consensus for a GOP win. Marshall secured his party's nomination with ease in the August 4 primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded field to face him in November. Recent polling shows Marshall holding narrow leads of 1–4 points among likely voters, though forecasts rate the race as Likely Republican given the state's partisan baseline and incumbency advantages. The outcome remains sensitive to turnout dynamics and any late shifts in the three months before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса
Победитель выборов в Сенат Канзаса
$42,138 Объем
$42,138 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
81%
Демократ
19%
$42,138 Объем
$42,138 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$27,361 Объем
81%
Демократ
$14,777 Объем
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall's strong position in deep-red Kansas, where the party has dominated Senate races for decades, underpins the 80.5% trader consensus for a GOP win. Marshall secured his party's nomination with ease in the August 4 primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded field to face him in November. Recent polling shows Marshall holding narrow leads of 1–4 points among likely voters, though forecasts rate the race as Likely Republican given the state's partisan baseline and incumbency advantages. The outcome remains sensitive to turnout dynamics and any late shifts in the three months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Объем
$42,138Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall's strong position in deep-red Kansas, where the party has dominated Senate races for decades, underpins the 80.5% trader consensus for a GOP win. Marshall secured his party's nomination with ease in the August 4 primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded field to face him in November. Recent polling shows Marshall holding narrow leads of 1–4 points among likely voters, though forecasts rate the race as Likely Republican given the state's partisan baseline and incumbency advantages. The outcome remains sensitive to turnout dynamics and any late shifts in the three months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$42,138Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall's strong position in deep-red Kansas, where the party has dominated Senate races for decades, underpins the 80.5% trader consensus for a GOP win. Marshall secured his party's nomination with ease in the August 4 primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded field to face him in November. Recent polling shows Marshall holding narrow leads of 1–4 points among likely voters, though forecasts rate the race as Likely Republican given the state's partisan baseline and incumbency advantages. The outcome remains sensitive to turnout dynamics and any late shifts in the three months before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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