**US-mediated talks produced a trilateral framework agreement signed June 26, 2026, in Washington by Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors, establishing a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces control of pilot zones in southern Lebanon, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployment.** Multiple rounds since April had already advanced ceasefires and security tracks under US facilitation, including a Military Coordination Group. Implementation remains performance-based and contingent on measurable Lebanese progress against non-state actors, with Israel retaining buffer zones until threats recede. Hezbollah rejected the deal, while sporadic clashes and Israeli operations continued into early September, underscoring risks to further high-level meetings or full resolution within any specific timeframe. Trader sentiment reflects these implementation hurdles and the absence of fixed timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$349,712 Объем
1 окт. 2026 г.
9 сентября
3%
11 сентября
5%
13 сентября
9%
15 сентября
36%
September 30
72%
$349,712 Объем
9 сентября
$14,168 Объем
3%
11 сентября
$5,528 Объем
5%
13 сентября
$8,255 Объем
9%
15 сентября
$61,589 Объем
36%
September 30
$51,666 Объем
72%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.**US-mediated talks produced a trilateral framework agreement signed June 26, 2026, in Washington by Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors, establishing a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces control of pilot zones in southern Lebanon, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployment.** Multiple rounds since April had already advanced ceasefires and security tracks under US facilitation, including a Military Coordination Group. Implementation remains performance-based and contingent on measurable Lebanese progress against non-state actors, with Israel retaining buffer zones until threats recede. Hezbollah rejected the deal, while sporadic clashes and Israeli operations continued into early September, underscoring risks to further high-level meetings or full resolution within any specific timeframe. Trader sentiment reflects these implementation hurdles and the absence of fixed timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Объем
$349,712Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.**US-mediated talks produced a trilateral framework agreement signed June 26, 2026, in Washington by Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors, establishing a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces control of pilot zones in southern Lebanon, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployment.** Multiple rounds since April had already advanced ceasefires and security tracks under US facilitation, including a Military Coordination Group. Implementation remains performance-based and contingent on measurable Lebanese progress against non-state actors, with Israel retaining buffer zones until threats recede. Hezbollah rejected the deal, while sporadic clashes and Israeli operations continued into early September, underscoring risks to further high-level meetings or full resolution within any specific timeframe. Trader sentiment reflects these implementation hurdles and the absence of fixed timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$349,712Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**US-mediated talks produced a trilateral framework agreement signed June 26, 2026, in Washington by Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors, establishing a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces control of pilot zones in southern Lebanon, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployment.** Multiple rounds since April had already advanced ceasefires and security tracks under US facilitation, including a Military Coordination Group. Implementation remains performance-based and contingent on measurable Lebanese progress against non-state actors, with Israel retaining buffer zones until threats recede. Hezbollah rejected the deal, while sporadic clashes and Israeli operations continued into early September, underscoring risks to further high-level meetings or full resolution within any specific timeframe. Trader sentiment reflects these implementation hurdles and the absence of fixed timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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