Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, faces a fragmented field ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote, with recent polls placing it in a tight contest for the largest share against Likud and the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance. Trader probabilities cluster across the 20-30 seat range because support has fluctuated with bloc dynamics, questions over potential opposition mergers, and uncertainty about whether Zionist parties opposed to the current government can reach a 61-seat majority without Arab factions. Developments that could widen gaps include final candidate lists, security-related events that shift voter priorities toward experience or accountability inquiries, and late polling on turnout among centrist and immigrant blocs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Израиле: Яшар # of seats?
Выборы в Израиле: Яшар # of seats?
26-27 24%
24-25 22%
30+ 20%
20-21 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<20
8%
20-21
25%
22-23
14%
24-25
28%
26-27
24%
28-29
11%
30+
32%
26-27 24%
24-25 22%
30+ 20%
20-21 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<20
$79 Объем
8%
20-21
$186 Объем
25%
22-23
$187 Объем
14%
24-25
$147 Объем
28%
26-27
$101 Объем
24%
28-29
$77 Объем
11%
30+
$417 Объем
32%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, faces a fragmented field ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote, with recent polls placing it in a tight contest for the largest share against Likud and the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance. Trader probabilities cluster across the 20-30 seat range because support has fluctuated with bloc dynamics, questions over potential opposition mergers, and uncertainty about whether Zionist parties opposed to the current government can reach a 61-seat majority without Arab factions. Developments that could widen gaps include final candidate lists, security-related events that shift voter priorities toward experience or accountability inquiries, and late polling on turnout among centrist and immigrant blocs.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Объем
$1,193Дата окончания
30 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, faces a fragmented field ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote, with recent polls placing it in a tight contest for the largest share against Likud and the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance. Trader probabilities cluster across the 20-30 seat range because support has fluctuated with bloc dynamics, questions over potential opposition mergers, and uncertainty about whether Zionist parties opposed to the current government can reach a 61-seat majority without Arab factions. Developments that could widen gaps include final candidate lists, security-related events that shift voter priorities toward experience or accountability inquiries, and late polling on turnout among centrist and immigrant blocs.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$1,193Дата окончания
30 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, faces a fragmented field ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote, with recent polls placing it in a tight contest for the largest share against Likud and the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance. Trader probabilities cluster across the 20-30 seat range because support has fluctuated with bloc dynamics, questions over potential opposition mergers, and uncertainty about whether Zionist parties opposed to the current government can reach a 61-seat majority without Arab factions. Developments that could widen gaps include final candidate lists, security-related events that shift voter priorities toward experience or accountability inquiries, and late polling on turnout among centrist and immigrant blocs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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