Recent polling averages project the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta’al-Balad) at 6-7 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, aligning with the market’s leading 40.5% probability for that range. The alliance’s August 2026 agreement to run together after prolonged negotiations over slate order has improved its efficiency under proportional representation compared to separate runs, though Ra’am’s independent candidacy fragments the Arab vote. Persistent low Arab turnout and competition from other lists continue to cap gains, while the broader contest between Netanyahu’s coalition and opposition blocs has not produced major shifts in Arab-party support in recent surveys. Upcoming list-submission deadlines and final campaign dynamics remain the main near-term variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено6-7 41%
8–9 29%
10-11 17%
<6 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<6
16%
6-7
41%
8–9
29%
10-11
17%
12+
4%
6-7 41%
8–9 29%
10-11 17%
<6 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<6
$30 Объем
16%
6-7
$62 Объем
41%
8–9
$27 Объем
29%
10-11
$20 Объем
17%
12+
$264 Объем
4%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages project the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta’al-Balad) at 6-7 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, aligning with the market’s leading 40.5% probability for that range. The alliance’s August 2026 agreement to run together after prolonged negotiations over slate order has improved its efficiency under proportional representation compared to separate runs, though Ra’am’s independent candidacy fragments the Arab vote. Persistent low Arab turnout and competition from other lists continue to cap gains, while the broader contest between Netanyahu’s coalition and opposition blocs has not produced major shifts in Arab-party support in recent surveys. Upcoming list-submission deadlines and final campaign dynamics remain the main near-term variables.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Объем
$403Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages project the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta’al-Balad) at 6-7 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, aligning with the market’s leading 40.5% probability for that range. The alliance’s August 2026 agreement to run together after prolonged negotiations over slate order has improved its efficiency under proportional representation compared to separate runs, though Ra’am’s independent candidacy fragments the Arab vote. Persistent low Arab turnout and competition from other lists continue to cap gains, while the broader contest between Netanyahu’s coalition and opposition blocs has not produced major shifts in Arab-party support in recent surveys. Upcoming list-submission deadlines and final campaign dynamics remain the main near-term variables.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$403Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages project the reunified Joint List (Hadash-Ta’al-Balad) at 6-7 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, aligning with the market’s leading 40.5% probability for that range. The alliance’s August 2026 agreement to run together after prolonged negotiations over slate order has improved its efficiency under proportional representation compared to separate runs, though Ra’am’s independent candidacy fragments the Arab vote. Persistent low Arab turnout and competition from other lists continue to cap gains, while the broader contest between Netanyahu’s coalition and opposition blocs has not produced major shifts in Arab-party support in recent surveys. Upcoming list-submission deadlines and final campaign dynamics remain the main near-term variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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