Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election place The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz list led by Yair Golan, in a narrow band of 8–11 Knesset seats. This range reflects consistent survey results from multiple pollsters through early September, amid a broader contest where neither the Netanyahu-aligned bloc nor the main opposition reaches a clear majority. Trader pricing on Polymarket aligns closely with these figures, assigning the highest implied probabilities to the 8–9 and 10–11 seat bands. Factors sustaining the tight distribution include stable voter intentions for the Zionist left, competition from centrist lists such as Yashar and Together for overlapping support, and limited recent catalysts capable of shifting turnout or alliances. Late-campaign events, including security developments or coalition signaling, could still alter seat projections before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено10-11 30%
8-9 28%
<8 21%
12-13 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<8
21%
8-9
28%
10-11
30%
12-13
20%
14+
16%
10-11 30%
8-9 28%
<8 21%
12-13 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<8
$2 Объем
21%
8-9
$0 Объем
28%
10-11
$10 Объем
30%
12-13
$10 Объем
20%
14+
$40 Объем
16%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election place The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz list led by Yair Golan, in a narrow band of 8–11 Knesset seats. This range reflects consistent survey results from multiple pollsters through early September, amid a broader contest where neither the Netanyahu-aligned bloc nor the main opposition reaches a clear majority. Trader pricing on Polymarket aligns closely with these figures, assigning the highest implied probabilities to the 8–9 and 10–11 seat bands. Factors sustaining the tight distribution include stable voter intentions for the Zionist left, competition from centrist lists such as Yashar and Together for overlapping support, and limited recent catalysts capable of shifting turnout or alliances. Late-campaign events, including security developments or coalition signaling, could still alter seat projections before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Объем
$50Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election place The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz list led by Yair Golan, in a narrow band of 8–11 Knesset seats. This range reflects consistent survey results from multiple pollsters through early September, amid a broader contest where neither the Netanyahu-aligned bloc nor the main opposition reaches a clear majority. Trader pricing on Polymarket aligns closely with these figures, assigning the highest implied probabilities to the 8–9 and 10–11 seat bands. Factors sustaining the tight distribution include stable voter intentions for the Zionist left, competition from centrist lists such as Yashar and Together for overlapping support, and limited recent catalysts capable of shifting turnout or alliances. Late-campaign events, including security developments or coalition signaling, could still alter seat projections before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$50Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election place The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz list led by Yair Golan, in a narrow band of 8–11 Knesset seats. This range reflects consistent survey results from multiple pollsters through early September, amid a broader contest where neither the Netanyahu-aligned bloc nor the main opposition reaches a clear majority. Trader pricing on Polymarket aligns closely with these figures, assigning the highest implied probabilities to the 8–9 and 10–11 seat bands. Factors sustaining the tight distribution include stable voter intentions for the Zionist left, competition from centrist lists such as Yashar and Together for overlapping support, and limited recent catalysts capable of shifting turnout or alliances. Late-campaign events, including security developments or coalition signaling, could still alter seat projections before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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