Recent high-pressure dominance over Central Europe has favored warm southerly advection and reduced cloud cover, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures near 33–34°C on August 4. Ensemble guidance from global models shows modest spread around these values, with slight differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual moisture determining whether readings reach 35°C or stay capped near 32°C. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average near 24–26°C, so current anomalies reflect the amplified late-summer heat signal noted in seasonal outlooks. Updated short-range runs and local IMGW analyses expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum and any convective cooling potential.