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icon for Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 24 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 24 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 24 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 24 августа?

авг. 23

авг. 24

авг. 23

авг. 24

20°C 30%

19°C 23%

21°C 23%

18°C 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

20°C 30%

19°C 23%

21°C 23%

18°C 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

15°C or below

$44 Объем

<1%

16°C

$85 Объем

1%

17°C

$599 Объем

4%

18°C

$865 Объем

11%

19°C

$1,681 Объем

23%

20°C

$642 Объем

30%

21°C

$501 Объем

23%

22°C

$868 Объем

9%

23°C

$629 Объем

4%

24°C

$282 Объем

2%

25°C or higher

$53 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A recent influx of cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover from southeasterly flow has suppressed daytime heating in São Paulo ahead of August 24. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office, Yr, and regional models converge on a maximum of 18–21 °C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with only limited solar insolation and possible light drizzle. This follows a sharp cooldown from mid-month highs near 30 °C, placing the day well below late-August climatological normals of 22–24 °C. Model spread centers on cloud thickness and any brief afternoon clearing, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered around 19–21 °C and explaining the near-even market probabilities for those outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 23 will refine the final range.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,249
Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A recent influx of cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover from southeasterly flow has suppressed daytime heating in São Paulo ahead of August 24. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office, Yr, and regional models converge on a maximum of 18–21 °C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with only limited solar insolation and possible light drizzle. This follows a sharp cooldown from mid-month highs near 30 °C, placing the day well below late-August climatological normals of 22–24 °C. Model spread centers on cloud thickness and any brief afternoon clearing, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered around 19–21 °C and explaining the near-even market probabilities for those outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 23 will refine the final range.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,249
Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 24 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «20°C» с 30%, за ним следует «19°C» с 23%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 30¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 24 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 22, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 24 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 24 августа?» — «20°C» с 30%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 30%. Следующий ближайший исход — «19°C» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 24 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.