Trader consensus has coalesced at 100% implied probability for a 24°C daily maximum in São Paulo on August 23 due to real-time surface observations and model agreement showing stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds limiting afternoon heating. Official INMET station data and regional analyses indicate temperatures rose steadily through the morning but plateaued near this threshold, consistent with climatological August averages for the city and absence of frontal systems or urban heat-island amplification strong enough to push higher. With the resolution window closing, only an unforecasted late-day surge or measurement revision could alter the outcome; current guidance from meteorological agencies leaves negligible room for such shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 23 августа?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$12,326 Объем
$12,326 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$12,326 Объем
$12,326 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has coalesced at 100% implied probability for a 24°C daily maximum in São Paulo on August 23 due to real-time surface observations and model agreement showing stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds limiting afternoon heating. Official INMET station data and regional analyses indicate temperatures rose steadily through the morning but plateaued near this threshold, consistent with climatological August averages for the city and absence of frontal systems or urban heat-island amplification strong enough to push higher. With the resolution window closing, only an unforecasted late-day surge or measurement revision could alter the outcome; current guidance from meteorological agencies leaves negligible room for such shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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