Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 23, 2026, centers on a daytime high near 76°F amid northwesterly flow and partly cloudy conditions, keeping values well below the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 82°F. This cooler pattern, influenced by a persistent upper-level trough over the upper Midwest, has aligned trader consensus with the 74–77°F range at over 94% implied probability. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most solutions clustered between 73–78°F, though minor shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by a degree or two. Historical August variability and ongoing monitoring of updated model runs continue to support these leading outcomes over warmer alternatives.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 23 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 23 августа?
76-77°F 45%
74-75°F 33%
78-79°F 21%
80-81°F <1%
НОВОЕ
$17,749 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,749 Объем
23 авг. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
45%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F или выше
<1%
76-77°F 45%
74-75°F 33%
78-79°F 21%
80-81°F <1%
НОВОЕ
$17,749 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,749 Объем
23 авг. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
$826 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$828 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$2,953 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$2,326 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$1,759 Объем
1%
74-75°F
$3,122 Объем
33%
76-77°F
$3,756 Объем
45%
78-79°F
$2,961 Объем
21%
80-81°F
$1,779 Объем
1%
82-83°F
$1,310 Объем
1%
84°F или выше
$1,493 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 23, 2026, centers on a daytime high near 76°F amid northwesterly flow and partly cloudy conditions, keeping values well below the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 82°F. This cooler pattern, influenced by a persistent upper-level trough over the upper Midwest, has aligned trader consensus with the 74–77°F range at over 94% implied probability. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most solutions clustered between 73–78°F, though minor shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by a degree or two. Historical August variability and ongoing monitoring of updated model runs continue to support these leading outcomes over warmer alternatives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Объем
$17,749Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 23, 2026, centers on a daytime high near 76°F amid northwesterly flow and partly cloudy conditions, keeping values well below the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 82°F. This cooler pattern, influenced by a persistent upper-level trough over the upper Midwest, has aligned trader consensus with the 74–77°F range at over 94% implied probability. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most solutions clustered between 73–78°F, though minor shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by a degree or two. Historical August variability and ongoing monitoring of updated model runs continue to support these leading outcomes over warmer alternatives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$17,749Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 23, 2026, centers on a daytime high near 76°F amid northwesterly flow and partly cloudy conditions, keeping values well below the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 82°F. This cooler pattern, influenced by a persistent upper-level trough over the upper Midwest, has aligned trader consensus with the 74–77°F range at over 94% implied probability. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most solutions clustered between 73–78°F, though minor shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by a degree or two. Historical August variability and ongoing monitoring of updated model runs continue to support these leading outcomes over warmer alternatives.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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