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icon for Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 23 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 23 августа?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 23 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 23 августа?

авг. 23

авг. 24

авг. 23

авг. 24

9°C 80%

13°C 42%

11°C 6%

10°C 5%

Polymarket

$1,052 Объем

9°C 80%

13°C 42%

11°C 6%

10°C 5%

Polymarket

$1,052 Объем

8°C or below

$20 Объем

1%

9°C

$5 Объем

80%

10°C

$5 Объем

5%

11°C

$4 Объем

6%

12°C

$21 Объем

4%

13°C

$0 Объем

42%

14°C

$21 Объем

59%

15°C

$90 Объем

<1%

16°C

$590 Объем

<1%

17°C

$115 Объем

<1%

18°C or higher

$181 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent arrival of a polar air mass and southeasterly maritime flow, reinforced by increasing cloud cover and higher humidity, has driven overnight cooling across São Paulo on August 23. Official guidance from Inmet and the city’s emergency center points to a minimum near 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C and 14°C outcomes. These conditions follow a cold front that lowered temperatures earlier in the week, limiting daytime heating and promoting radiational cooling overnight. Traders appear to be tracking the latest model consensus and surface observations, with resolution hinging on the precise lowest reading reported by official stations before midnight.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,052
Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent arrival of a polar air mass and southeasterly maritime flow, reinforced by increasing cloud cover and higher humidity, has driven overnight cooling across São Paulo on August 23. Official guidance from Inmet and the city’s emergency center points to a minimum near 12–14°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting on 13°C and 14°C outcomes. These conditions follow a cold front that lowered temperatures earlier in the week, limiting daytime heating and promoting radiational cooling overnight. Traders appear to be tracking the latest model consensus and surface observations, with resolution hinging on the precise lowest reading reported by official stations before midnight.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,052
Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 23 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «14°C» с 59%, за ним следует «13°C» с 42%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 59¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 59%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 23 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 22, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 23 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 23 августа?» — «14°C» с 59%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 59%. Следующий ближайший исход — «13°C» с 42%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 23 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.