Trader consensus on a "no" outcome reflects the regional containment of the ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo virus outbreak centered in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, where thousands of confirmed cases have been reported since May alongside aggressive surveillance, contact tracing, and isolation efforts by WHO and national authorities. Ebola transmission requires direct contact with bodily fluids rather than efficient airborne spread, and official assessments from the CDC and WHO continue to rate the risk of sustained international dissemination as very low. While the declaration of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern highlights the seriousness of the regional situation, historical patterns show such outbreaks rarely escalate globally. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include undetected exportation to high-connectivity areas or unexpected changes in viral transmissibility, with updated epidemiological reports expected to clarify containment progress.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% вероятность
$700,868 Объем
$700,868 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
4% вероятность
$700,868 Объем
$700,868 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on a "no" outcome reflects the regional containment of the ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo virus outbreak centered in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, where thousands of confirmed cases have been reported since May alongside aggressive surveillance, contact tracing, and isolation efforts by WHO and national authorities. Ebola transmission requires direct contact with bodily fluids rather than efficient airborne spread, and official assessments from the CDC and WHO continue to rate the risk of sustained international dissemination as very low. While the declaration of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern highlights the seriousness of the regional situation, historical patterns show such outbreaks rarely escalate globally. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include undetected exportation to high-connectivity areas or unexpected changes in viral transmissibility, with updated epidemiological reports expected to clarify containment progress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Объем
$700,868Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on a "no" outcome reflects the regional containment of the ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo virus outbreak centered in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, where thousands of confirmed cases have been reported since May alongside aggressive surveillance, contact tracing, and isolation efforts by WHO and national authorities. Ebola transmission requires direct contact with bodily fluids rather than efficient airborne spread, and official assessments from the CDC and WHO continue to rate the risk of sustained international dissemination as very low. While the declaration of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern highlights the seriousness of the regional situation, historical patterns show such outbreaks rarely escalate globally. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include undetected exportation to high-connectivity areas or unexpected changes in viral transmissibility, with updated epidemiological reports expected to clarify containment progress.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$700,868Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a "no" outcome reflects the regional containment of the ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo virus outbreak centered in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, where thousands of confirmed cases have been reported since May alongside aggressive surveillance, contact tracing, and isolation efforts by WHO and national authorities. Ebola transmission requires direct contact with bodily fluids rather than efficient airborne spread, and official assessments from the CDC and WHO continue to rate the risk of sustained international dissemination as very low. While the declaration of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern highlights the seriousness of the regional situation, historical patterns show such outbreaks rarely escalate globally. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include undetected exportation to high-connectivity areas or unexpected changes in viral transmissibility, with updated epidemiological reports expected to clarify containment progress.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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