PL maintains a leading position in trader assessments for the October 4 Chamber of Deputies election due to its status as the largest current caucus with roughly 98 seats, bolstered by an established national network, candidate recruitment strength, and alignment with right-wing presidential contender Flávio Bolsonaro. The open-list proportional representation system favors parties with deep state-level infrastructure and name recognition consolidated since 2022. UPB, holding around 100 seats as a key centrão bloc, trails in implied probability amid competition from other center-right groups. Recent presidential polling, showing a competitive race between incumbent Lula and Bolsonaro-aligned candidates, has reinforced expectations of sustained right-wing legislative momentum, though smaller parties remain marginal given the 2% threshold and scale limitations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоBrazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
PL 61%
UPB 39.4%
FE Brasil <1%
PSD <1%
$115,468 Объем
$115,468 Объем
3 окт. 2026 г.
PL
61%
UPB
39%
FE Brasil
<1%
PSD
<1%
REPUBLICANOS
<1%
MDB
<1%
MISSÃO
<1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
<1%
PODE
<1%
PDT
<1%
PSB
<1%
PSOL-REDE
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
<1%
Avante
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PL 61%
UPB 39.4%
FE Brasil <1%
PSD <1%
$115,468 Объем
$115,468 Объем
3 окт. 2026 г.
PL
$47,433 Объем
61%
UPB
$16,764 Объем
39%
FE Brasil
$6,356 Объем
<1%
PSD
$4,554 Объем
<1%
REPUBLICANOS
$3,303 Объем
<1%
MDB
$5,116 Объем
<1%
MISSÃO
$8,424 Объем
<1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
$3,143 Объем
<1%
PODE
$2,399 Объем
<1%
PDT
$3,060 Объем
<1%
PSB
$3,426 Объем
<1%
PSOL-REDE
$2,948 Объем
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
$3,062 Объем
<1%
Avante
$3,096 Объем
<1%
NOVO
$2,383 Объем
<1%
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL maintains a leading position in trader assessments for the October 4 Chamber of Deputies election due to its status as the largest current caucus with roughly 98 seats, bolstered by an established national network, candidate recruitment strength, and alignment with right-wing presidential contender Flávio Bolsonaro. The open-list proportional representation system favors parties with deep state-level infrastructure and name recognition consolidated since 2022. UPB, holding around 100 seats as a key centrão bloc, trails in implied probability amid competition from other center-right groups. Recent presidential polling, showing a competitive race between incumbent Lula and Bolsonaro-aligned candidates, has reinforced expectations of sustained right-wing legislative momentum, though smaller parties remain marginal given the 2% threshold and scale limitations.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Объем
$115,468Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL maintains a leading position in trader assessments for the October 4 Chamber of Deputies election due to its status as the largest current caucus with roughly 98 seats, bolstered by an established national network, candidate recruitment strength, and alignment with right-wing presidential contender Flávio Bolsonaro. The open-list proportional representation system favors parties with deep state-level infrastructure and name recognition consolidated since 2022. UPB, holding around 100 seats as a key centrão bloc, trails in implied probability amid competition from other center-right groups. Recent presidential polling, showing a competitive race between incumbent Lula and Bolsonaro-aligned candidates, has reinforced expectations of sustained right-wing legislative momentum, though smaller parties remain marginal given the 2% threshold and scale limitations.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
Объем
$115,468Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...PL maintains a leading position in trader assessments for the October 4 Chamber of Deputies election due to its status as the largest current caucus with roughly 98 seats, bolstered by an established national network, candidate recruitment strength, and alignment with right-wing presidential contender Flávio Bolsonaro. The open-list proportional representation system favors parties with deep state-level infrastructure and name recognition consolidated since 2022. UPB, holding around 100 seats as a key centrão bloc, trails in implied probability amid competition from other center-right groups. Recent presidential polling, showing a competitive race between incumbent Lula and Bolsonaro-aligned candidates, has reinforced expectations of sustained right-wing legislative momentum, though smaller parties remain marginal given the 2% threshold and scale limitations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Получит ли Либеральная партия (PL) наибольшее количество мест по результатам следующих выборов в Сенат Бразилии?
88%
Да
Выиграет ли Либеральная партия (PL) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в бразильский Сенат?
84%
Да
Получит ли Мишель Болсонару больше всего голосов на выборах в Сенат Федерального округа в 2026 году?
85%
Да
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