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icon for Победитель выборов в Берлин
Мир·Мировые выборы

Победитель выборов в Берлин

icon for Победитель выборов в Берлин
Мир·Мировые выборы

Победитель выборов в Берлин

Левица 67%

ХДС 27%

АдГ 6.9%

Зелёные 1.5%

Polymarket

$3,879,506 Объем

Левица 67%

ХДС 27%

АдГ 6.9%

Зелёные 1.5%

Polymarket

$3,879,506 Объем

icon for Левица

Левица

$301,968 Объем

67%

icon for ХДС

ХДС

$344,375 Объем

27%

icon for АдГ

АдГ

$2,505,277 Объем

7%

icon for Зелёные

Зелёные

$211,393 Объем

2%

icon for СДПГ

СДПГ

$431,867 Объем

<1%

icon for СвДП

СвДП

$20,953 Объем

<1%

icon for FW

FW

$15,172 Объем

<1%

icon for BSW

BSW

$48,502 Объем

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) Recent polling averages place Die Linke and the CDU in a tight contest for the largest share in Berlin’s 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election, with both parties near 20-23 percent and the AfD, Greens, and SPD trailing. Die Linke’s modest lead in several September surveys, combined with the CDU’s decision to replace incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner after criticism of his handling of a major infrastructure incident, has shaped trader assessments. A fragmented field makes a two-party majority unlikely, increasing the importance of which party secures the plurality. Lowering the voting age to 16 and simplified ballot rules expand the electorate in ways that recent surveys suggest favor left-leaning options. These dynamics have produced the current implied probabilities, with outcomes remaining sensitive to final turnout and late shifts.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Объем
$3,879,506
Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) Recent polling averages place Die Linke and the CDU in a tight contest for the largest share in Berlin’s 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election, with both parties near 20-23 percent and the AfD, Greens, and SPD trailing. Die Linke’s modest lead in several September surveys, combined with the CDU’s decision to replace incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner after criticism of his handling of a major infrastructure incident, has shaped trader assessments. A fragmented field makes a two-party majority unlikely, increasing the importance of which party secures the plurality. Lowering the voting age to 16 and simplified ballot rules expand the electorate in ways that recent surveys suggest favor left-leaning options. These dynamics have produced the current implied probabilities, with outcomes remaining sensitive to final turnout and late shifts.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Объем
$3,879,506
Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли партия «Зелёные» четвертое по количеству мест число в земельных выборах Берлина 2026 года?

Выиграет ли партия «Зелёные» четвертое по количеству мест число в земельных выборах Берлина 2026 года?

64%
Да
icon for Получит ли ХДС второе по количеству мандатов место на выборах в парламент Берлина в 2026 году?

Получит ли ХДС второе по количеству мандатов место на выборах в парламент Берлина в 2026 году?

40%
Да
icon for Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

33%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Берлин» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Левица» с 67%, за ним следует «ХДС» с 27%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 67¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 67%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов в Берлин» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $3.9 million с момента запуска рынка Dec 2, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Берлин», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Берлин» — «Левица» с 67%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 67%. Следующий ближайший исход — «ХДС» с 27%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Берлин» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.