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Debate Presidencial previsões e probabilidades

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

24%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$2M today

$63M Liq.

770

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

16%

Marco Rubio

$628M Vol.

$1M today

$37M Liq.

959

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

33%

J.D. Vance

$658M Vol.

$889K today

$45M Liq.

421

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

27%

Jordan Bardella

$100M Vol.

$775K today

$10M Liq.

554

Ends em 11 meses

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

98%

Keiko Fujimori

$102M Vol.

$598K today

$15M Liq.

14,417

Ends há 2 meses

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

89%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$37M Vol.

$264K today

$4M Liq.

880

Ends em 6 dias

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

50%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$100M Vol.

$253K today

$8M Liq.

11,504

Ends em 4 meses

Peru Presidential Election Runoff: JNE certifies results by…?

Peru Presidential Election Runoff: JNE certifies results by…?

94%

July 27

$45.4K Vol.

$60.2K Liq.

3

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory

53%

de la Espriella 5-10%

$131K Vol.

$111K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 dias

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá

63%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$60.8K Vol.

$68.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

48%

Javier Milei

$157K Vol.

$160K Liq.

20

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

68%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$4M Vol.

$409K Liq.

42

Ends em 4 meses

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

92%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$114K Vol.

$340K Liq.

29

Ends em 10 meses

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

84%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$385K Vol.

$111K Liq.

116

Ends em 4 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

48%

Renan Santos

$323K Vol.

$266K Liq.

47

Ends em 4 meses

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

18%

$107K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

13

Ends em 7 meses

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Turnout

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Turnout

63%

60-64%

$14.1K Vol.

$52.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

24%

Kamala Harris

$732K Vol.

$649K Liq.

18

Ends em 7 meses

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

14%

$75.3K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

31

Ends em 4 meses

Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?

Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?

5%

$5.0K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Debate Presidencial.

Polymarket currently hosts 181 active markets for Debate Presidencial that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.8B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Debate Presidencial predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.