United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election stems from its control of single-member districts, administrative resources, and consistent polling leads near 40-50 percent, reinforced by the Kremlin's oversight of the managed electoral system. Recent party convention approvals of a federal list featuring figures such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin, along with President Putin's public endorsement, have underscored organizational continuity without notable disruptions. Systemic opposition parties including New People, LDPR, and KPRF remain limited by structural barriers and lower support levels, with no major developments in the past month altering the consensus on seat distribution. Trader probabilities reflect these institutional and polling dynamics ahead of the September vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Rússia Unida (ER) 74%
Novos Pessoas (NL) 18.4%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 5.6%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 1.4%
$20,680,249 Vol.
$20,680,249 Vol.
29 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
74%
Novos Pessoas (NL)
18%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
6%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
1%
Rodina
<1%
A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rússia Unida (ER) 74%
Novos Pessoas (NL) 18.4%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 5.6%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 1.4%
$20,680,249 Vol.
$20,680,249 Vol.
29 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
$7,382,611 Vol.
74%
Novos Pessoas (NL)
$2,152,350 Vol.
18%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
$3,238,519 Vol.
6%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
$1,356,840 Vol.
1%
Rodina
$2,492,355 Vol.
<1%
A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)
$1,556,685 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$1,225,827 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$1,275,063 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election stems from its control of single-member districts, administrative resources, and consistent polling leads near 40-50 percent, reinforced by the Kremlin's oversight of the managed electoral system. Recent party convention approvals of a federal list featuring figures such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin, along with President Putin's public endorsement, have underscored organizational continuity without notable disruptions. Systemic opposition parties including New People, LDPR, and KPRF remain limited by structural barriers and lower support levels, with no major developments in the past month altering the consensus on seat distribution. Trader probabilities reflect these institutional and polling dynamics ahead of the September vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$20,680,249Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election stems from its control of single-member districts, administrative resources, and consistent polling leads near 40-50 percent, reinforced by the Kremlin's oversight of the managed electoral system. Recent party convention approvals of a federal list featuring figures such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin, along with President Putin's public endorsement, have underscored organizational continuity without notable disruptions. Systemic opposition parties including New People, LDPR, and KPRF remain limited by structural barriers and lower support levels, with no major developments in the past month altering the consensus on seat distribution. Trader probabilities reflect these institutional and polling dynamics ahead of the September vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$20,680,249Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election stems from its control of single-member districts, administrative resources, and consistent polling leads near 40-50 percent, reinforced by the Kremlin's oversight of the managed electoral system. Recent party convention approvals of a federal list featuring figures such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin, along with President Putin's public endorsement, have underscored organizational continuity without notable disruptions. Systemic opposition parties including New People, LDPR, and KPRF remain limited by structural barriers and lower support levels, with no major developments in the past month altering the consensus on seat distribution. Trader probabilities reflect these institutional and polling dynamics ahead of the September vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
A Rússia Unida (ER) irá ganhar mais assentos na próxima eleição parlamentar russa?
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Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
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Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
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