Referendos previsões e probabilidades

Elections·Referendums

O imposto bilionário único sobre a riqueza é aprovado na eleição da Califórnia em 2026?

$4M Vol.

$56.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

29%

$4M Vol.

$56.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Elections·Iceland

Islândia O referendo DA UE passa?

$240K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

Ends há 7 dias

<1%

$240K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

Ends há 7 dias

Elections·California

O referendo de identificação de eleitor da Califórnia passa?

$9.0K Vol.

$487 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

40%

$9.0K Vol.

$487 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Elections·Constitution

A emenda de proteção ao aborto de Nevada será aprovada?

$843 Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

100%

$843 Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Elections·Global Elections

Referendo de setembro na Suíça: o que vai passar?

$39.4K Vol.

$82.4K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

Iniciativa da neutralidade

$39.4K Vol.

$82.4K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

Elections·House Elections

Arizona aprova medida de votação do cartel de drogas?

$270 Vol.

$536 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

73%

$270 Vol.

$536 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Elections·US Election

Colorado aprova medida eleitoral impondo sentenças de prisão perpétua a traficantes sexuais menores de idade?

$4.3K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

83%

$4.3K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Geopolitics·Erdogan

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

$6.8K Vol.

$430 Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

17%

$6.8K Vol.

$430 Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Elections·House Elections

O Arizona aprova a medida de votação da câmera de trânsito?

$453 Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

80%

$453 Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Elections·Midterms

A emenda de proteção ao aborto da Virgínia será aprovada?

$1.5K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

91%

$1.5K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Elections·Popular Vote

Referendo de novembro na Suíça: o que vai passar?

$6.8K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

60%

Decreto federal sobre o IVA

$6.8K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Elections·Michigan

Michigan votará para reescrever a Constituição estadual?

$7.5K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

$7.5K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Elections·Midterms

Idaho aprova medida eleitoral que legaliza o aborto?

$7.3K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

53%

$7.3K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Elections·Referendums

Macron vai convocar um referendo até 31 de dezembro?

$78 Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

$78 Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Elections·Midterms

Washington aprova medida eleitoral que restringe o acesso a esportes escolares transgêneros?

$401 Vol.

$482 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

70%

$401 Vol.

$482 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Elections·House Elections

Arizona aprova medida de votação que restringe a escola transgênero e o acesso atlético?

$182 Vol.

$472 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

57%

$182 Vol.

$472 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Politics·Trump

A Groenlândia votará pela independência em 2026?

$48.7K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

$48.7K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Elections·US Election

Colorado aprova medida de votação que restringe o acesso a esportes escolares transgêneros?

$1.6K Vol.

$255 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

66%

$1.6K Vol.

$255 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Elections·Midterms

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

$2.0K Vol.

$160 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

27%

$2.0K Vol.

$160 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Elections·California

Proposta de Reforma Eleitoral de Recall da Califórnia

$20 Vol.

$807 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

48%

$20 Vol.

$807 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

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Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Referendos.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Referendos that lets you track or trade on predictions like “O imposto bilionário único sobre a riqueza é aprovado na eleição da Califórnia em 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Islândia O referendo DA UE passa?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Referendo de setembro na Suíça: o que vai passar?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “O imposto bilionário único sobre a riqueza é aprovado na eleição da Califórnia em 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 72% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Referendos predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Referendos shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Referendo de setembro na Suíça: o que vai passar?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Referendos prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “O imposto bilionário único sobre a riqueza é aprovado na eleição da Califórnia em 2026?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Referendos prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Referendos previsões e probabilidades

Frequently Asked Questions

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How do Referendos markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Referendos prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Referendos predictions?

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How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Referendos prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Referendos markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Referendos prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Referendos predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Referendos odds?

Can I track Referendos predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Referendos markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Referendos previsões e probabilidades