AfD leads recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election with roughly 36 percent support, ahead of the incumbent SPD at around 29 percent. This positioning reflects sustained strength for the Alternative for Germany in eastern states, where the party has consolidated voter backing amid declining popularity for the long-governing SPD-Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Polling averages from mid-2026 onward show AfD maintaining a consistent advantage, while smaller parties including the Greens, FDP, and others remain below the threshold for entry. Traders appear to price in the low likelihood of an anti-AfD majority coalition forming even if no single party secures an outright majority, consistent with patterns in comparable eastern German state contests.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor das eleições parlamentares de Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
Vencedor das eleições parlamentares de Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$456,250 Vol.
$456,250 Vol.
19 set 2026
AfD
85%
SPD
16%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Os Verdes
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$456,250 Vol.
$456,250 Vol.
19 set 2026
AfD
$80,021 Vol.
85%
SPD
$96,548 Vol.
16%
Linke
$27,668 Vol.
<1%
FW
$36,709 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Vol.
<1%
Os Verdes
$71,444 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD leads recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election with roughly 36 percent support, ahead of the incumbent SPD at around 29 percent. This positioning reflects sustained strength for the Alternative for Germany in eastern states, where the party has consolidated voter backing amid declining popularity for the long-governing SPD-Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Polling averages from mid-2026 onward show AfD maintaining a consistent advantage, while smaller parties including the Greens, FDP, and others remain below the threshold for entry. Traders appear to price in the low likelihood of an anti-AfD majority coalition forming even if no single party secures an outright majority, consistent with patterns in comparable eastern German state contests.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercado Aberto: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$456,250Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD leads recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election with roughly 36 percent support, ahead of the incumbent SPD at around 29 percent. This positioning reflects sustained strength for the Alternative for Germany in eastern states, where the party has consolidated voter backing amid declining popularity for the long-governing SPD-Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Polling averages from mid-2026 onward show AfD maintaining a consistent advantage, while smaller parties including the Greens, FDP, and others remain below the threshold for entry. Traders appear to price in the low likelihood of an anti-AfD majority coalition forming even if no single party secures an outright majority, consistent with patterns in comparable eastern German state contests.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$456,250Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD leads recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election with roughly 36 percent support, ahead of the incumbent SPD at around 29 percent. This positioning reflects sustained strength for the Alternative for Germany in eastern states, where the party has consolidated voter backing amid declining popularity for the long-governing SPD-Left coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Polling averages from mid-2026 onward show AfD maintaining a consistent advantage, while smaller parties including the Greens, FDP, and others remain below the threshold for entry. Traders appear to price in the low likelihood of an anti-AfD majority coalition forming even if no single party secures an outright majority, consistent with patterns in comparable eastern German state contests.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
A Linke ganhará o terceiro maior número de assentos nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 em Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
68%
Sim
O SPD conquistará o segundo maior número de assentos nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 em Mecklenburgo-Pomerânia Ocidental?
85%
Sim
Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
48%
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions