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Política·Principais Eleições

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
Política·Principais Eleições

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 87%

Robert Kenyon 13%

Rebecca Shepherd 2.5%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$3,243,776 Vol.

Andy Burnham 87%

Robert Kenyon 13%

Rebecca Shepherd 2.5%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$3,243,776 Vol.

Andy Burnham

$335,918 Vol.

87%

Robert Kenyon

$264,741 Vol.

13%

Rebecca Shepherd

$2,615,129 Vol.

2%

Simon Finkelstein

$6,802 Vol.

<1%

Maria Deery

$6,509 Vol.

<1%

John Skipworth

$6,531 Vol.

<1%

James Thomas Bryer

$8,147 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham holds a commanding position in the Makerfield by-election market as Labour’s candidate, backed by the constituency’s consistent Labour majorities since 2010 and his established profile as Greater Manchester mayor with deep local ties. The seat became vacant after incumbent Josh Simons resigned in May 2026 specifically to create an opening for Burnham’s return to Parliament ahead of the 18 June poll. Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon provides the main opposition, drawing support from national trends and recent local polling that shows a narrowed gap, yet remains a distant second in trader assessments. A multi-candidate BBC debate days before voting highlighted issues including crime, immigration, and public services, reinforcing Burnham’s frontrunner status while underscoring limited pathways for other contenders to close the margin.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$3,243,776
Data de Término
18 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham holds a commanding position in the Makerfield by-election market as Labour’s candidate, backed by the constituency’s consistent Labour majorities since 2010 and his established profile as Greater Manchester mayor with deep local ties. The seat became vacant after incumbent Josh Simons resigned in May 2026 specifically to create an opening for Burnham’s return to Parliament ahead of the 18 June poll. Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon provides the main opposition, drawing support from national trends and recent local polling that shows a narrowed gap, yet remains a distant second in trader assessments. A multi-candidate BBC debate days before voting highlighted issues including crime, immigration, and public services, reinforcing Burnham’s frontrunner status while underscoring limited pathways for other contenders to close the margin.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$3,243,776
Data de Término
18 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Makerfield by-election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andy Burnham" at 87%, followed by "Robert Kenyon" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Makerfield by-election Winner" has generated $3.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Makerfield by-election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Makerfield by-election Winner" is "Andy Burnham" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Robert Kenyon" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Makerfield by-election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.