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Mundo·Brasil

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar

icon for Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar
Mundo·Brasil

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar

Renan Santos 53%

Ronaldo Caiado 39%

Romeu Zema 4.9%

Flávio Bolsonaro 4.0%

Polymarket

$549,272 Vol.

Renan Santos 53%

Ronaldo Caiado 39%

Romeu Zema 4.9%

Flávio Bolsonaro 4.0%

Polymarket

$549,272 Vol.

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$183,718 Vol.

53%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$52,693 Vol.

39%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$22,539 Vol.

5%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$25,103 Vol.

4%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$13,872 Vol.

1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$45,571 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$21,713 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$8,747 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$7,754 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$9,865 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$4,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$12,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$104,175 Vol.

<1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$13,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$10,684 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$9,374 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$3,481 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos has consolidated trader consensus as the leading contender for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote through steady polling gains and strong digital mobilization among younger right-leaning voters. As president of the recently formed Mission Party and a founder of the Free Brazil Movement, Santos positions himself as an anti-establishment alternative both to incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and to Flávio Bolsonaro, whose campaign has faced headwinds from earlier audio controversies. Former Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado remains a close second in the market, drawing support from established center-right networks, while Romeu Zema and other minor candidates trail with limited recent momentum. Recent conventions and surveys show Santos occasionally edging ahead of more experienced governors in intention polls, reflecting voter interest in a non-Bolsonaro right-wing option ahead of the formal campaign period.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$549,272
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos has consolidated trader consensus as the leading contender for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote through steady polling gains and strong digital mobilization among younger right-leaning voters. As president of the recently formed Mission Party and a founder of the Free Brazil Movement, Santos positions himself as an anti-establishment alternative both to incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and to Flávio Bolsonaro, whose campaign has faced headwinds from earlier audio controversies. Former Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado remains a close second in the market, drawing support from established center-right networks, while Romeu Zema and other minor candidates trail with limited recent momentum. Recent conventions and surveys show Santos occasionally edging ahead of more experienced governors in intention polls, reflecting voter interest in a non-Bolsonaro right-wing option ahead of the formal campaign period.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$549,272
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Renan Santos" at 53%, followed by "Ronaldo Caiado" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar" has generated $549.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar" is "Renan Santos" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ronaldo Caiado" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 3º lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.