Recent forecasts from models and agencies like those aggregated on timeanddate and Weather Network indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 4 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid a lingering summer heatwave, with daytime highs near 35°C and minimal cooling from high humidity and light easterly winds. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 50% implied probability, as warm advection from the subtropical high and urban heat retention suppress radiative cooling typical for early August climatology (average lows ~25–26°C). No incoming cold fronts, typhoon influences, or significant precipitation shifts appear in the latest runs to drive temperatures lower, supporting the tight clustering around 26–28°C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 4 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 4 de agosto?
27°C 40%
26°C 26%
28°C 16%
22°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
26%
27°C
50%
28°C
16%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C ou mais
1%
27°C 40%
26°C 26%
28°C 16%
22°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
$20 Vol.
3%
22°C
$20 Vol.
10%
23°C
$22 Vol.
2%
24°C
$16 Vol.
3%
25°C
$67 Vol.
5%
26°C
$320 Vol.
26%
27°C
$15 Vol.
50%
28°C
$6 Vol.
16%
29°C
$86 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C ou mais
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like those aggregated on timeanddate and Weather Network indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 4 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid a lingering summer heatwave, with daytime highs near 35°C and minimal cooling from high humidity and light easterly winds. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 50% implied probability, as warm advection from the subtropical high and urban heat retention suppress radiative cooling typical for early August climatology (average lows ~25–26°C). No incoming cold fronts, typhoon influences, or significant precipitation shifts appear in the latest runs to drive temperatures lower, supporting the tight clustering around 26–28°C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$582Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like those aggregated on timeanddate and Weather Network indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 4 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid a lingering summer heatwave, with daytime highs near 35°C and minimal cooling from high humidity and light easterly winds. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 50% implied probability, as warm advection from the subtropical high and urban heat retention suppress radiative cooling typical for early August climatology (average lows ~25–26°C). No incoming cold fronts, typhoon influences, or significant precipitation shifts appear in the latest runs to drive temperatures lower, supporting the tight clustering around 26–28°C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$582Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies like those aggregated on timeanddate and Weather Network indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 4 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid a lingering summer heatwave, with daytime highs near 35°C and minimal cooling from high humidity and light easterly winds. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 50% implied probability, as warm advection from the subtropical high and urban heat retention suppress radiative cooling typical for early August climatology (average lows ~25–26°C). No incoming cold fronts, typhoon influences, or significant precipitation shifts appear in the latest runs to drive temperatures lower, supporting the tight clustering around 26–28°C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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