Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High pressure system are sustaining elevated temperatures and humidity across South Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration issuing heatwave warnings for central and western Busan through early August. Model consensus points to daytime maxima near 36–37°C on August 2 amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limit overnight cooling, though coastal sea breezes could cap peaks slightly below 38°C. Historical August baselines for Busan average 29–31°C, making the current anomaly notable, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any late-day convection introduces the tight spread between 36°C-or-below and 37–38°C outcomes reflected in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range KMA guidance on August 1 will refine resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Busan no dia 2 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Busan no dia 2 de agosto?
37°C 37%
36°C ou menos 33%
38°C 22%
39°C 11%
NOVO
$29,222 Vol.
NOVO
$29,222 Vol.
2 ago 2026
36°C ou menos
33%
37°C
37%
38°C
22%
39°C
11%
40°C
<1%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C ou mais
<1%
37°C 37%
36°C ou menos 33%
38°C 22%
39°C 11%
NOVO
$29,222 Vol.
NOVO
$29,222 Vol.
2 ago 2026
36°C ou menos
$6,765 Vol.
33%
37°C
$3,474 Vol.
37%
38°C
$4,642 Vol.
22%
39°C
$5,312 Vol.
11%
40°C
$2,569 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$2,688 Vol.
1%
42°C
$1,565 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$1,289 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$282 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$318 Vol.
<1%
46°C ou mais
$318 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High pressure system are sustaining elevated temperatures and humidity across South Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration issuing heatwave warnings for central and western Busan through early August. Model consensus points to daytime maxima near 36–37°C on August 2 amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limit overnight cooling, though coastal sea breezes could cap peaks slightly below 38°C. Historical August baselines for Busan average 29–31°C, making the current anomaly notable, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any late-day convection introduces the tight spread between 36°C-or-below and 37–38°C outcomes reflected in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range KMA guidance on August 1 will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$29,222Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High pressure system are sustaining elevated temperatures and humidity across South Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration issuing heatwave warnings for central and western Busan through early August. Model consensus points to daytime maxima near 36–37°C on August 2 amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limit overnight cooling, though coastal sea breezes could cap peaks slightly below 38°C. Historical August baselines for Busan average 29–31°C, making the current anomaly notable, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any late-day convection introduces the tight spread between 36°C-or-below and 37–38°C outcomes reflected in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range KMA guidance on August 1 will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,222Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High pressure system are sustaining elevated temperatures and humidity across South Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration issuing heatwave warnings for central and western Busan through early August. Model consensus points to daytime maxima near 36–37°C on August 2 amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limit overnight cooling, though coastal sea breezes could cap peaks slightly below 38°C. Historical August baselines for Busan average 29–31°C, making the current anomaly notable, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns and any late-day convection introduces the tight spread between 36°C-or-below and 37–38°C outcomes reflected in trader-implied probabilities. Updated short-range KMA guidance on August 1 will refine resolution thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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