Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C for coastal Qingdao on August 4 under generally clear conditions, aligning with early-August climatology slightly above the long-term 29–30°C average. Trader consensus nevertheless clusters around 34–35°C because ensemble spreads, local urban heating, and potential weaker onshore flow introduce upside uncertainty of 2–4°C above guidance. The tight distribution between 33°C and 36°C+ reflects this forecast variability rather than strong consensus on any single outcome, with resolution hinging on the official maximum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao no dia 4 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Qingdao no dia 4 de agosto?
34°C 36%
35°C 26%
33°C 20%
36°C ou mais 19%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
20%
34°C
36%
35°C
26%
36°C ou mais
19%
34°C 36%
35°C 26%
33°C 20%
36°C ou mais 19%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
$353 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$443 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$433 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$27 Vol.
1%
31°C
$33 Vol.
1%
32°C
$36 Vol.
5%
33°C
$4 Vol.
20%
34°C
$86 Vol.
36%
35°C
$70 Vol.
26%
36°C ou mais
$626 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C for coastal Qingdao on August 4 under generally clear conditions, aligning with early-August climatology slightly above the long-term 29–30°C average. Trader consensus nevertheless clusters around 34–35°C because ensemble spreads, local urban heating, and potential weaker onshore flow introduce upside uncertainty of 2–4°C above guidance. The tight distribution between 33°C and 36°C+ reflects this forecast variability rather than strong consensus on any single outcome, with resolution hinging on the official maximum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,153Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C for coastal Qingdao on August 4 under generally clear conditions, aligning with early-August climatology slightly above the long-term 29–30°C average. Trader consensus nevertheless clusters around 34–35°C because ensemble spreads, local urban heating, and potential weaker onshore flow introduce upside uncertainty of 2–4°C above guidance. The tight distribution between 33°C and 36°C+ reflects this forecast variability rather than strong consensus on any single outcome, with resolution hinging on the official maximum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,153Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C for coastal Qingdao on August 4 under generally clear conditions, aligning with early-August climatology slightly above the long-term 29–30°C average. Trader consensus nevertheless clusters around 34–35°C because ensemble spreads, local urban heating, and potential weaker onshore flow introduce upside uncertainty of 2–4°C above guidance. The tight distribution between 33°C and 36°C+ reflects this forecast variability rather than strong consensus on any single outcome, with resolution hinging on the official maximum reported by Chinese meteorological authorities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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