Recent forecasts from multiple models place Kuala Lumpur's August 2 maximum near 32–33°C under typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity and scattered afternoon convection limiting daytime peaks. El Niño's ongoing intensification through late 2026 tilts regional patterns toward slightly warmer and drier conditions than neutral baselines, though tropical convective variability introduces uncertainty in exact highs. Market-implied odds favor 33°C or 34°C because short-range guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with 34°C requiring marginally stronger subsidence or urban heat-island effects. Traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against historical August maxima near 32°C and the low likelihood of exceeding 35°C absent unusual clear-sky persistence. Updated model outputs and official Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance tomorrow morning represent the next key data points.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Kuala Lumpur no dia 2 de agosto?
33°C 41%
34°C 39%
32°C 18%
31°C 4%
$16,040 Vol.
$16,040 Vol.
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
18%
33°C
41%
34°C
39%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 41%
34°C 39%
32°C 18%
31°C 4%
$16,040 Vol.
$16,040 Vol.
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
18%
33°C
41%
34°C
39%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Kuala Lumpur's August 2 maximum near 32–33°C under typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity and scattered afternoon convection limiting daytime peaks. El Niño's ongoing intensification through late 2026 tilts regional patterns toward slightly warmer and drier conditions than neutral baselines, though tropical convective variability introduces uncertainty in exact highs. Market-implied odds favor 33°C or 34°C because short-range guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with 34°C requiring marginally stronger subsidence or urban heat-island effects. Traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against historical August maxima near 32°C and the low likelihood of exceeding 35°C absent unusual clear-sky persistence. Updated model outputs and official Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance tomorrow morning represent the next key data points.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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