**Current MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 2, 2026, indicate fine conditions under building northwesterlies, with a daytime maximum near 12°C and overnight lows around 8°C.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes of 13°C (55.5% implied probability) and 12°C (31.5%), reflecting trader consensus on a near-average winter high. NIWA's June–August seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with typical early-August maxima of 12–13°C. Northwesterly flow often moderates chill from prior southerlies while limiting cloud cover and precipitation, supporting the slight tilt toward 13°C in model guidance. Longer-range ensembles show limited spread for this short lead time, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling anomalies. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine exact maxima, directly influencing resolution between the two dominant bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington no dia 2 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington no dia 2 de agosto?
13°C 56%
12°C 32%
14°C 10%
11°C 4%
NOVO
$15,210 Vol.
NOVO
$15,210 Vol.
2 ago 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
32%
13°C
56%
14°C
10%
15°C
3%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 56%
12°C 32%
14°C 10%
11°C 4%
NOVO
$15,210 Vol.
NOVO
$15,210 Vol.
2 ago 2026
6°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,274 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,430 Vol.
4%
12°C
$2,957 Vol.
32%
13°C
$2,787 Vol.
56%
14°C
$2,423 Vol.
10%
15°C
$1,464 Vol.
3%
16°C or higher
$337 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 2, 2026, indicate fine conditions under building northwesterlies, with a daytime maximum near 12°C and overnight lows around 8°C.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes of 13°C (55.5% implied probability) and 12°C (31.5%), reflecting trader consensus on a near-average winter high.
NIWA's June–August seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with typical early-August maxima of 12–13°C. Northwesterly flow often moderates chill from prior southerlies while limiting cloud cover and precipitation, supporting the slight tilt toward 13°C in model guidance.
Longer-range ensembles show limited spread for this short lead time, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling anomalies. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine exact maxima, directly influencing resolution between the two dominant bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$15,210Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 2, 2026, indicate fine conditions under building northwesterlies, with a daytime maximum near 12°C and overnight lows around 8°C.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes of 13°C (55.5% implied probability) and 12°C (31.5%), reflecting trader consensus on a near-average winter high.
NIWA's June–August seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with typical early-August maxima of 12–13°C. Northwesterly flow often moderates chill from prior southerlies while limiting cloud cover and precipitation, supporting the slight tilt toward 13°C in model guidance.
Longer-range ensembles show limited spread for this short lead time, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling anomalies. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine exact maxima, directly influencing resolution between the two dominant bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,210Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 2, 2026, indicate fine conditions under building northwesterlies, with a daytime maximum near 12°C and overnight lows around 8°C.** This aligns closely with the market's leading outcomes of 13°C (55.5% implied probability) and 12°C (31.5%), reflecting trader consensus on a near-average winter high. NIWA's June–August seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, consistent with typical early-August maxima of 12–13°C. Northwesterly flow often moderates chill from prior southerlies while limiting cloud cover and precipitation, supporting the slight tilt toward 13°C in model guidance. Longer-range ensembles show limited spread for this short lead time, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling anomalies. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine exact maxima, directly influencing resolution between the two dominant bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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