Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Francisco em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em São Francisco em 29 de agosto?
56-57°F 100.0%
49°F ou menos <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,127 Vol.
$2,127 Vol.
29 ago 2026
49°F ou menos
Não
50-51°F
Não
52-53°F
Não
54-55°F
Não
56-57°F
Sim
58-59°F
Não
60-61°F
Não
62-63°F
Não
64-65°F
Não
66-67°F
Não
68°F ou mais
Não
56-57°F 100.0%
49°F ou menos <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,127 Vol.
$2,127 Vol.
29 ago 2026
49°F ou menos
$129 Vol.
Não
50-51°F
$121 Vol.
Não
52-53°F
$71 Vol.
Não
54-55°F
$52 Vol.
Não
56-57°F
$897 Vol.
Sim
58-59°F
$200 Vol.
Não
60-61°F
$167 Vol.
Não
62-63°F
$103 Vol.
Não
64-65°F
$45 Vol.
Não
66-67°F
$297 Vol.
Não
68°F ou mais
$45 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,127Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,127Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions