Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 1 will likely settle near 15–17°C, aligning with seasonal August averages of 14–16°C and positioning the 16°C-or-below outcome as the market favorite at 67%. An early-August heat episode is expected to elevate daytime highs toward 28–30°C, yet clear or partly cloudy conditions overnight should permit sufficient radiative cooling to keep minimums from rising sharply. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, with no major cold front or cloud cover anticipated to alter this trajectory before resolution. Historical data confirm single-day August minima frequently dip to or below 16°C even during warmer periods, supporting trader consensus on the implied probabilities while leaving room for minor upward revisions if urban heat-island effects intensify.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 1 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 1 de agosto?
16°C ou menos 66%
17°C 29%
18°C 13%
19°C 1.0%
NOVO
NOVO
1 ago 2026
16°C ou menos
66%
17°C
29%
18°C
17%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou mais
<1%
16°C ou menos 66%
17°C 29%
18°C 13%
19°C 1.0%
NOVO
NOVO
1 ago 2026
16°C ou menos
$1,409 Vol.
66%
17°C
$1,293 Vol.
29%
18°C
$378 Vol.
17%
19°C
$322 Vol.
1%
20°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$434 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$833 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$339 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
26°C ou mais
$332 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 1 will likely settle near 15–17°C, aligning with seasonal August averages of 14–16°C and positioning the 16°C-or-below outcome as the market favorite at 67%. An early-August heat episode is expected to elevate daytime highs toward 28–30°C, yet clear or partly cloudy conditions overnight should permit sufficient radiative cooling to keep minimums from rising sharply. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, with no major cold front or cloud cover anticipated to alter this trajectory before resolution. Historical data confirm single-day August minima frequently dip to or below 16°C even during warmer periods, supporting trader consensus on the implied probabilities while leaving room for minor upward revisions if urban heat-island effects intensify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,258Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 1 will likely settle near 15–17°C, aligning with seasonal August averages of 14–16°C and positioning the 16°C-or-below outcome as the market favorite at 67%. An early-August heat episode is expected to elevate daytime highs toward 28–30°C, yet clear or partly cloudy conditions overnight should permit sufficient radiative cooling to keep minimums from rising sharply. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, with no major cold front or cloud cover anticipated to alter this trajectory before resolution. Historical data confirm single-day August minima frequently dip to or below 16°C even during warmer periods, supporting trader consensus on the implied probabilities while leaving room for minor upward revisions if urban heat-island effects intensify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,258Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 1 will likely settle near 15–17°C, aligning with seasonal August averages of 14–16°C and positioning the 16°C-or-below outcome as the market favorite at 67%. An early-August heat episode is expected to elevate daytime highs toward 28–30°C, yet clear or partly cloudy conditions overnight should permit sufficient radiative cooling to keep minimums from rising sharply. Recent model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, with no major cold front or cloud cover anticipated to alter this trajectory before resolution. Historical data confirm single-day August minima frequently dip to or below 16°C even during warmer periods, supporting trader consensus on the implied probabilities while leaving room for minor upward revisions if urban heat-island effects intensify.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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