Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City shows persistent humidity, cloud cover, and southeasterly flow tied to an approaching frontal system, limiting overnight radiational cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 70–72°F on September 2. These conditions, with elevated dew points and a 60–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms, favor the market’s leading outcomes in the 68–71°F range as traders weigh forecast consensus against typical early-September climatology near 65°F. Model spreads remain modest but introduce uncertainty around exact clearing timing, while historical analogs with similar warm, moist setups rarely drop below 67°F. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova Iorque a 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova Iorque a 2 de setembro?
70-71°F 52%
68-69°F 43%
72-73°F 39%
64-65°F 36%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
63°F ou menos
13%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
43%
70-71°F
52%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82°F ou mais
7%
70-71°F 52%
68-69°F 43%
72-73°F 39%
64-65°F 36%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
63°F ou menos
$27 Vol.
13%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
36%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
18%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
43%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
52%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$15 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$5 Vol.
19%
78-79°F
$25 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$25 Vol.
2%
82°F ou mais
$88 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City shows persistent humidity, cloud cover, and southeasterly flow tied to an approaching frontal system, limiting overnight radiational cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 70–72°F on September 2. These conditions, with elevated dew points and a 60–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms, favor the market’s leading outcomes in the 68–71°F range as traders weigh forecast consensus against typical early-September climatology near 65°F. Model spreads remain modest but introduce uncertainty around exact clearing timing, while historical analogs with similar warm, moist setups rarely drop below 67°F. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$185Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City shows persistent humidity, cloud cover, and southeasterly flow tied to an approaching frontal system, limiting overnight radiational cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 70–72°F on September 2. These conditions, with elevated dew points and a 60–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms, favor the market’s leading outcomes in the 68–71°F range as traders weigh forecast consensus against typical early-September climatology near 65°F. Model spreads remain modest but introduce uncertainty around exact clearing timing, while historical analogs with similar warm, moist setups rarely drop below 67°F. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$185Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City shows persistent humidity, cloud cover, and southeasterly flow tied to an approaching frontal system, limiting overnight radiational cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 70–72°F on September 2. These conditions, with elevated dew points and a 60–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms, favor the market’s leading outcomes in the 68–71°F range as traders weigh forecast consensus against typical early-September climatology near 65°F. Model spreads remain modest but introduce uncertainty around exact clearing timing, while historical analogs with similar warm, moist setups rarely drop below 67°F. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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