Recent forecast models from sources including the GFS and European guidance indicate a maximum near 24°C in Munich on August 31, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating westerly flow advecting cooler Atlantic air. This setup limits diurnal heating compared to the warmer, clearer conditions observed on August 30. Historical August averages hover around 22–24°C, and current ensemble consensus places the highest temperature most likely between 23–25°C. Trader positioning, with 25°C at 63% implied probability and 24°C at 21%, aligns closely with these outputs ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique em 31 de agosto?
25°C 63%
24°C 21%
26°C 13%
23°C 3%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
21%
25°C
63%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 63%
24°C 21%
26°C 13%
23°C 3%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
21%
25°C
63%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the GFS and European guidance indicate a maximum near 24°C in Munich on August 31, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating westerly flow advecting cooler Atlantic air. This setup limits diurnal heating compared to the warmer, clearer conditions observed on August 30. Historical August averages hover around 22–24°C, and current ensemble consensus places the highest temperature most likely between 23–25°C. Trader positioning, with 25°C at 63% implied probability and 24°C at 21%, aligns closely with these outputs ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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