Latest numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies overnight, supporting a daily minimum near 13°C in Munich on August 30. Stable high pressure and light southwesterly flow have limited advection of warmer air, aligning with climatological late-August averages while current observations track the consensus track. The 99% market-implied probability on 13°C reflects this strong model agreement and limited uncertainty in short-range guidance. A faster-moving cold front or clearer-than-expected conditions could allow further cooling toward 12°C or below, though ensemble spreads remain narrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Munique no dia 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Munique no dia 30 de agosto?
13°C 99%
12°C or below 2%
17°C <1%
15°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99%
12°C or below 2%
17°C <1%
15°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
12°C or below
$207 Vol.
2%
13°C
$552 Vol.
99%
14°C
$94 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$177 Vol.
1%
16°C
$268 Vol.
1%
17°C
$93 Vol.
1%
18°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies overnight, supporting a daily minimum near 13°C in Munich on August 30. Stable high pressure and light southwesterly flow have limited advection of warmer air, aligning with climatological late-August averages while current observations track the consensus track. The 99% market-implied probability on 13°C reflects this strong model agreement and limited uncertainty in short-range guidance. A faster-moving cold front or clearer-than-expected conditions could allow further cooling toward 12°C or below, though ensemble spreads remain narrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,621Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies overnight, supporting a daily minimum near 13°C in Munich on August 30. Stable high pressure and light southwesterly flow have limited advection of warmer air, aligning with climatological late-August averages while current observations track the consensus track. The 99% market-implied probability on 13°C reflects this strong model agreement and limited uncertainty in short-range guidance. A faster-moving cold front or clearer-than-expected conditions could allow further cooling toward 12°C or below, though ensemble spreads remain narrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,621Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies overnight, supporting a daily minimum near 13°C in Munich on August 30. Stable high pressure and light southwesterly flow have limited advection of warmer air, aligning with climatological late-August averages while current observations track the consensus track. The 99% market-implied probability on 13°C reflects this strong model agreement and limited uncertainty in short-range guidance. A faster-moving cold front or clearer-than-expected conditions could allow further cooling toward 12°C or below, though ensemble spreads remain narrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions