Forecasts from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and models such as ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on August 31 likely falling in the 14–16°C range, with showers and southwesterly flow overnight moderating radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads show variability driven by cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized rain, which can raise or suppress the overnight low by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 14–16°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band and the influence of the latest model runs on trader consensus, while lower probabilities for extremes capture tail risks from forecast revisions. Historical August minima average near 13°C, providing context but limited guidance given current synoptic conditions. Updated model outputs and observational data through the evening of August 30 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Munique em 31 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Munique em 31 de agosto?
21°C or higher 59%
15°C 31%
14°C 28%
11°C or below 27%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
11°C or below
27%
12°C
8%
13°C
11%
14°C
28%
15°C
31%
16°C
27%
17°C
13%
18°C
9%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
59%
21°C or higher 59%
15°C 31%
14°C 28%
11°C or below 27%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
11°C or below
$100 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
8%
13°C
$8 Vol.
11%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
31%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
13%
18°C
$0 Vol.
9%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$130 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and models such as ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on August 31 likely falling in the 14–16°C range, with showers and southwesterly flow overnight moderating radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads show variability driven by cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized rain, which can raise or suppress the overnight low by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 14–16°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band and the influence of the latest model runs on trader consensus, while lower probabilities for extremes capture tail risks from forecast revisions. Historical August minima average near 13°C, providing context but limited guidance given current synoptic conditions. Updated model outputs and observational data through the evening of August 30 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$243Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and models such as ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on August 31 likely falling in the 14–16°C range, with showers and southwesterly flow overnight moderating radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads show variability driven by cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized rain, which can raise or suppress the overnight low by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 14–16°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band and the influence of the latest model runs on trader consensus, while lower probabilities for extremes capture tail risks from forecast revisions. Historical August minima average near 13°C, providing context but limited guidance given current synoptic conditions. Updated model outputs and observational data through the evening of August 30 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$243Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and models such as ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on August 31 likely falling in the 14–16°C range, with showers and southwesterly flow overnight moderating radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads show variability driven by cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized rain, which can raise or suppress the overnight low by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 14–16°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band and the influence of the latest model runs on trader consensus, while lower probabilities for extremes capture tail risks from forecast revisions. Historical August minima average near 13°C, providing context but limited guidance given current synoptic conditions. Updated model outputs and observational data through the evening of August 30 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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