Recent weather model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's maximum temperature on August 31 most likely falling between 28°C and 29°C, driving the tight market-implied odds of 45.5% and 41.5%. Day-to-day variability in upper-level ridging, boundary-layer moisture, and daytime heating rates creates the narrow spread, with ensemble members split on whether peak readings reach the higher threshold. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 29°C, providing context, while the short forecast horizon limits major shifts absent unexpected synoptic changes. Traders weigh official guidance updates against local station observations to refine positions ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 31 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara em 31 de agosto?
28°C 46%
29°C 43%
27°C 10%
30°C 1.4%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
46%
29°C
43%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 43%
27°C 10%
30°C 1.4%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
24°C or below
$435 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$464 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$358 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,817 Vol.
10%
28°C
$1,485 Vol.
46%
29°C
$3,592 Vol.
43%
30°C
$560 Vol.
1%
31°C
$400 Vol.
1%
32°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's maximum temperature on August 31 most likely falling between 28°C and 29°C, driving the tight market-implied odds of 45.5% and 41.5%. Day-to-day variability in upper-level ridging, boundary-layer moisture, and daytime heating rates creates the narrow spread, with ensemble members split on whether peak readings reach the higher threshold. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 29°C, providing context, while the short forecast horizon limits major shifts absent unexpected synoptic changes. Traders weigh official guidance updates against local station observations to refine positions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,649Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's maximum temperature on August 31 most likely falling between 28°C and 29°C, driving the tight market-implied odds of 45.5% and 41.5%. Day-to-day variability in upper-level ridging, boundary-layer moisture, and daytime heating rates creates the narrow spread, with ensemble members split on whether peak readings reach the higher threshold. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 29°C, providing context, while the short forecast horizon limits major shifts absent unexpected synoptic changes. Traders weigh official guidance updates against local station observations to refine positions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,649Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's maximum temperature on August 31 most likely falling between 28°C and 29°C, driving the tight market-implied odds of 45.5% and 41.5%. Day-to-day variability in upper-level ridging, boundary-layer moisture, and daytime heating rates creates the narrow spread, with ensemble members split on whether peak readings reach the higher threshold. Historical August climatology for the region centers near 29°C, providing context, while the short forecast horizon limits major shifts absent unexpected synoptic changes. Traders weigh official guidance updates against local station observations to refine positions ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions