Current numerical weather models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and other sources indicate a maximum temperature near 17–18°C on August 31 under mostly cloudy, rainy conditions driven by southwesterly flow and a passing low-pressure system, suppressing diurnal warming. This aligns with the cooling trend observed in late August 2026, where recent daily highs have hovered in the mid-to-upper teens amid frequent showers. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53% implied probability for 19°C and secondary support for 18–20°C, incorporates historical late-summer variability and model uncertainty ranges, while lower odds on extremes acknowledge the low likelihood of significant warming or further cooling before resolution. Updated ECMWF or FMI runs ahead of market close remain the key near-term catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Helsínquia a 31 de agosto?
19°C 53%
20°C 24%
18°C 19%
17°C 5%
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
19%
19°C
53%
20°C
24%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 53%
20°C 24%
18°C 19%
17°C 5%
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
19%
19°C
53%
20°C
24%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and other sources indicate a maximum temperature near 17–18°C on August 31 under mostly cloudy, rainy conditions driven by southwesterly flow and a passing low-pressure system, suppressing diurnal warming. This aligns with the cooling trend observed in late August 2026, where recent daily highs have hovered in the mid-to-upper teens amid frequent showers. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53% implied probability for 19°C and secondary support for 18–20°C, incorporates historical late-summer variability and model uncertainty ranges, while lower odds on extremes acknowledge the low likelihood of significant warming or further cooling before resolution. Updated ECMWF or FMI runs ahead of market close remain the key near-term catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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