Official National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 31 indicate a high near 90°F under a pattern of morning clouds and scattered thunderstorms giving way to partly cloudy skies by afternoon. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph will advect warmer, humid air northward, supporting temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s, while heat indices could approach 100°F. Model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with any stronger convective activity potentially capping the peak slightly below 90°F or allowing brief clearing to push readings into the low 90s. This above-normal warmth—relative to the 1991–2020 August 31 average high near 81°F—underpins the close market-implied odds between the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins, with traders weighting the latest guidance on cloud cover and instability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 31 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 31 de agosto?
88-89°F 36%
32-32,8°C 32%
30-31°C 12%
92-93°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
81°F ou menos
1%
28-28,3°C
2%
84-85°F
4%
30-31°C
12%
88-89°F
36%
32-32,8°C
32%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F ou mais
<1%
88-89°F 36%
32-32,8°C 32%
30-31°C 12%
92-93°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
81°F ou menos
$113 Vol.
1%
28-28,3°C
$145 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$424 Vol.
4%
30-31°C
$465 Vol.
12%
88-89°F
$426 Vol.
36%
32-32,8°C
$1,431 Vol.
32%
92-93°F
$504 Vol.
8%
94-95°F
$122 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$57 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$123 Vol.
<1%
100°F ou mais
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 31 indicate a high near 90°F under a pattern of morning clouds and scattered thunderstorms giving way to partly cloudy skies by afternoon. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph will advect warmer, humid air northward, supporting temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s, while heat indices could approach 100°F. Model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with any stronger convective activity potentially capping the peak slightly below 90°F or allowing brief clearing to push readings into the low 90s. This above-normal warmth—relative to the 1991–2020 August 31 average high near 81°F—underpins the close market-implied odds between the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins, with traders weighting the latest guidance on cloud cover and instability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,050Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 31 indicate a high near 90°F under a pattern of morning clouds and scattered thunderstorms giving way to partly cloudy skies by afternoon. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph will advect warmer, humid air northward, supporting temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s, while heat indices could approach 100°F. Model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with any stronger convective activity potentially capping the peak slightly below 90°F or allowing brief clearing to push readings into the low 90s. This above-normal warmth—relative to the 1991–2020 August 31 average high near 81°F—underpins the close market-implied odds between the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins, with traders weighting the latest guidance on cloud cover and instability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,050Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 31 indicate a high near 90°F under a pattern of morning clouds and scattered thunderstorms giving way to partly cloudy skies by afternoon. Southwest winds of 10–15 mph will advect warmer, humid air northward, supporting temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s, while heat indices could approach 100°F. Model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with any stronger convective activity potentially capping the peak slightly below 90°F or allowing brief clearing to push readings into the low 90s. This above-normal warmth—relative to the 1991–2020 August 31 average high near 81°F—underpins the close market-implied odds between the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins, with traders weighting the latest guidance on cloud cover and instability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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