A cold front crossing São Paulo state around September 1 is driving the dominant market positioning toward 19–21 °C highs on the 2nd, with 20 °C holding the plurality at 33.5 %. Official guidance from IPMet and multiple models shows the front lowering temperatures after widespread showers and gusty southerly winds on the 1st, followed by building high pressure that favors partly cloudy skies and limited diurnal warming. Subtropical spring variability and modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture keep 19 °C and 21 °C tightly competitive, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band as sustained cooling or rapid rebound would require atypical frontal timing or strength. Updated NWP runs and surface observations through the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 2 de setembro?
20°C 42%
19°C 25%
21°C 24%
18°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
25%
20°C
41%
21°C
24%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 42%
19°C 25%
21°C 24%
18°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
14°C or below
$28 Vol.
1%
15°C
$32 Vol.
1%
16°C
$25 Vol.
4%
17°C
$36 Vol.
5%
18°C
$78 Vol.
9%
19°C
$143 Vol.
25%
20°C
$406 Vol.
41%
21°C
$97 Vol.
24%
22°C
$118 Vol.
5%
23°C
$25 Vol.
7%
24°C or higher
$139 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front crossing São Paulo state around September 1 is driving the dominant market positioning toward 19–21 °C highs on the 2nd, with 20 °C holding the plurality at 33.5 %. Official guidance from IPMet and multiple models shows the front lowering temperatures after widespread showers and gusty southerly winds on the 1st, followed by building high pressure that favors partly cloudy skies and limited diurnal warming. Subtropical spring variability and modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture keep 19 °C and 21 °C tightly competitive, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band as sustained cooling or rapid rebound would require atypical frontal timing or strength. Updated NWP runs and surface observations through the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,126Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front crossing São Paulo state around September 1 is driving the dominant market positioning toward 19–21 °C highs on the 2nd, with 20 °C holding the plurality at 33.5 %. Official guidance from IPMet and multiple models shows the front lowering temperatures after widespread showers and gusty southerly winds on the 1st, followed by building high pressure that favors partly cloudy skies and limited diurnal warming. Subtropical spring variability and modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture keep 19 °C and 21 °C tightly competitive, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band as sustained cooling or rapid rebound would require atypical frontal timing or strength. Updated NWP runs and surface observations through the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,126Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cold front crossing São Paulo state around September 1 is driving the dominant market positioning toward 19–21 °C highs on the 2nd, with 20 °C holding the plurality at 33.5 %. Official guidance from IPMet and multiple models shows the front lowering temperatures after widespread showers and gusty southerly winds on the 1st, followed by building high pressure that favors partly cloudy skies and limited diurnal warming. Subtropical spring variability and modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture keep 19 °C and 21 °C tightly competitive, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band as sustained cooling or rapid rebound would require atypical frontal timing or strength. Updated NWP runs and surface observations through the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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