**Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show a clear, calm night with light northeast winds and dew points around 15–18°C, supporting radiative cooling to a minimum of 16°C in Jinan on September 5.** This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability for 16°C, reflecting trader consensus on observed conditions and model runs that have remained stable in the past 48 hours. September climatology in the region typically features diurnal ranges of 10–14°C under similar high-pressure setups, with official station measurements (often at Jinan’s urban or airport sites) resolving near this level absent major shifts. A sudden increase in low-level moisture, unexpected cloud cover, or stronger winds could limit cooling and push the low above 17°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 5 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 5 de setembro?
16°C 99.4%
14°C 1.0%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
5 set 2026
12°C ou menos
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
99%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou mais
<1%
16°C 99.4%
14°C 1.0%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
5 set 2026
12°C ou menos
$57 Vol.
1%
13°C
$57 Vol.
1%
14°C
$57 Vol.
1%
15°C
$97 Vol.
1%
16°C
$630 Vol.
99%
17°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$450 Vol.
1%
19°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
22°C ou mais
$55 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show a clear, calm night with light northeast winds and dew points around 15–18°C, supporting radiative cooling to a minimum of 16°C in Jinan on September 5.** This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability for 16°C, reflecting trader consensus on observed conditions and model runs that have remained stable in the past 48 hours. September climatology in the region typically features diurnal ranges of 10–14°C under similar high-pressure setups, with official station measurements (often at Jinan’s urban or airport sites) resolving near this level absent major shifts. A sudden increase in low-level moisture, unexpected cloud cover, or stronger winds could limit cooling and push the low above 17°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,843Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show a clear, calm night with light northeast winds and dew points around 15–18°C, supporting radiative cooling to a minimum of 16°C in Jinan on September 5.** This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability for 16°C, reflecting trader consensus on observed conditions and model runs that have remained stable in the past 48 hours. September climatology in the region typically features diurnal ranges of 10–14°C under similar high-pressure setups, with official station measurements (often at Jinan’s urban or airport sites) resolving near this level absent major shifts. A sudden increase in low-level moisture, unexpected cloud cover, or stronger winds could limit cooling and push the low above 17°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,843Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show a clear, calm night with light northeast winds and dew points around 15–18°C, supporting radiative cooling to a minimum of 16°C in Jinan on September 5.** This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability for 16°C, reflecting trader consensus on observed conditions and model runs that have remained stable in the past 48 hours. September climatology in the region typically features diurnal ranges of 10–14°C under similar high-pressure setups, with official station measurements (often at Jinan’s urban or airport sites) resolving near this level absent major shifts. A sudden increase in low-level moisture, unexpected cloud cover, or stronger winds could limit cooling and push the low above 17°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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