Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity has driven widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thunderstorms across Metro Manila on September 5, 2026, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 29°C according to PAGASA and multiple forecast models. This aligns with historical September baselines under similar monsoon regimes and explains the 99.7% market-implied probability for 29°C as the official high at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these conditions, with minimal odds on 30°C or higher. Brief clearing or reduced rainfall intensity could realistically allow temperatures to reach 30°C, while stronger convective activity might hold the peak at 28°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 5 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 5 de setembro?
29°C 99.6%
30°C <1%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
$30,436 Vol.
$30,436 Vol.
5 set 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 99.6%
30°C <1%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
$30,436 Vol.
$30,436 Vol.
5 set 2026
23°C ou menos
$155 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,011 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,917 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$8,904 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,015 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,424 Vol.
100%
30°C
$4,181 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,104 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou mais
$799 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity has driven widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thunderstorms across Metro Manila on September 5, 2026, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 29°C according to PAGASA and multiple forecast models. This aligns with historical September baselines under similar monsoon regimes and explains the 99.7% market-implied probability for 29°C as the official high at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these conditions, with minimal odds on 30°C or higher. Brief clearing or reduced rainfall intensity could realistically allow temperatures to reach 30°C, while stronger convective activity might hold the peak at 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$30,436Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity has driven widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thunderstorms across Metro Manila on September 5, 2026, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 29°C according to PAGASA and multiple forecast models. This aligns with historical September baselines under similar monsoon regimes and explains the 99.7% market-implied probability for 29°C as the official high at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these conditions, with minimal odds on 30°C or higher. Brief clearing or reduced rainfall intensity could realistically allow temperatures to reach 30°C, while stronger convective activity might hold the peak at 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,436Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity has driven widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thunderstorms across Metro Manila on September 5, 2026, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 29°C according to PAGASA and multiple forecast models. This aligns with historical September baselines under similar monsoon regimes and explains the 99.7% market-implied probability for 29°C as the official high at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these conditions, with minimal odds on 30°C or higher. Brief clearing or reduced rainfall intensity could realistically allow temperatures to reach 30°C, while stronger convective activity might hold the peak at 28°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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