Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a high of 25°C for Tokyo on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and a 50-60% precipitation chance during the day. This aligns with current model consensus showing limited daytime heating due to persistent cloud cover and northeasterly flow, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms around 24-26°C. Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects these verified agency projections and limited upside potential from additional rain or thicker clouds. Revised model runs showing clearer intervals or stronger southerly winds could push readings to 26°C or higher, while heavier rainfall might cap the peak below the threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 5 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 5 de setembro?
25°C 96%
26°C 6%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$84,061 Vol.
$84,061 Vol.
5 set 2026
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
96%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 96%
26°C 6%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$84,061 Vol.
$84,061 Vol.
5 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$1,998 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$10,332 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$13,956 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$12,780 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,024 Vol.
96%
26°C
$7,418 Vol.
6%
27°C
$5,906 Vol.
1%
28°C
$3,487 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,135 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,118 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou mais
$17,908 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a high of 25°C for Tokyo on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and a 50-60% precipitation chance during the day. This aligns with current model consensus showing limited daytime heating due to persistent cloud cover and northeasterly flow, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms around 24-26°C. Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects these verified agency projections and limited upside potential from additional rain or thicker clouds. Revised model runs showing clearer intervals or stronger southerly winds could push readings to 26°C or higher, while heavier rainfall might cap the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$84,061Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a high of 25°C for Tokyo on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and a 50-60% precipitation chance during the day. This aligns with current model consensus showing limited daytime heating due to persistent cloud cover and northeasterly flow, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms around 24-26°C. Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects these verified agency projections and limited upside potential from additional rain or thicker clouds. Revised model runs showing clearer intervals or stronger southerly winds could push readings to 26°C or higher, while heavier rainfall might cap the peak below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$84,061Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a high of 25°C for Tokyo on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and a 50-60% precipitation chance during the day. This aligns with current model consensus showing limited daytime heating due to persistent cloud cover and northeasterly flow, keeping maximum temperatures near seasonal norms around 24-26°C. Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects these verified agency projections and limited upside potential from additional rain or thicker clouds. Revised model runs showing clearer intervals or stronger southerly winds could push readings to 26°C or higher, while heavier rainfall might cap the peak below the threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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