Recent forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS points to a high of 17°C in Helsinki on September 7 under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market's leading 43.5% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure influence and typical early-September Baltic Sea air masses are keeping temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.9°C, with limited variability expected before resolution. Nearby runs show slight upside risk to 18°C if daytime heating exceeds guidance, aligning with the 28.5% odds, while cooler 16°C scenarios remain possible under any unexpected northerly flow shift. Updated model guidance and official Finnish Meteorological Institute briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Helsínquia a 7 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Helsínquia a 7 de setembro?
17°C 44%
18°C 29%
16°C 16%
15°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
12°C ou menos
3%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
16%
17°C
44%
18°C
29%
19°C
7%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
2%
17°C 44%
18°C 29%
16°C 16%
15°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
12°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
3%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
7%
16°C
$0 Vol.
16%
17°C
$31 Vol.
44%
18°C
$36 Vol.
29%
19°C
$0 Vol.
7%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS points to a high of 17°C in Helsinki on September 7 under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market's leading 43.5% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure influence and typical early-September Baltic Sea air masses are keeping temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.9°C, with limited variability expected before resolution. Nearby runs show slight upside risk to 18°C if daytime heating exceeds guidance, aligning with the 28.5% odds, while cooler 16°C scenarios remain possible under any unexpected northerly flow shift. Updated model guidance and official Finnish Meteorological Institute briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$67Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS points to a high of 17°C in Helsinki on September 7 under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market's leading 43.5% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure influence and typical early-September Baltic Sea air masses are keeping temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.9°C, with limited variability expected before resolution. Nearby runs show slight upside risk to 18°C if daytime heating exceeds guidance, aligning with the 28.5% odds, while cooler 16°C scenarios remain possible under any unexpected northerly flow shift. Updated model guidance and official Finnish Meteorological Institute briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$67Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS points to a high of 17°C in Helsinki on September 7 under mostly sunny skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market's leading 43.5% implied probability for that outcome. Stable high-pressure influence and typical early-September Baltic Sea air masses are keeping temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.9°C, with limited variability expected before resolution. Nearby runs show slight upside risk to 18°C if daytime heating exceeds guidance, aligning with the 28.5% odds, while cooler 16°C scenarios remain possible under any unexpected northerly flow shift. Updated model guidance and official Finnish Meteorological Institute briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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