The market's overwhelming 98.7% implied probability for a 29°C high in Seoul/Incheon on September 5 reflects converging official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models, which project a daily maximum near that value under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. Afternoon observations have already reached 28–29°C, aligning with ensemble consensus and typical early September climatology for the region. With resolution dependent on the final verified reading, only an unexpected late-day surge in cloud cover, localized convection, or station-specific measurement variance could realistically shift the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 5 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 5 de setembro?
29°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
$57,680 Vol.
$57,680 Vol.
5 set 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
23°C ou menos <1%
24°C <1%
$57,680 Vol.
$57,680 Vol.
5 set 2026
23°C ou menos
$305 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$782 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$7,102 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,021 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$13,714 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$11,519 Vol.
100%
30°C
$9,052 Vol.
1%
31°C
$4,077 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,712 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou mais
$1,093 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 98.7% implied probability for a 29°C high in Seoul/Incheon on September 5 reflects converging official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models, which project a daily maximum near that value under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. Afternoon observations have already reached 28–29°C, aligning with ensemble consensus and typical early September climatology for the region. With resolution dependent on the final verified reading, only an unexpected late-day surge in cloud cover, localized convection, or station-specific measurement variance could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$57,680Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 98.7% implied probability for a 29°C high in Seoul/Incheon on September 5 reflects converging official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models, which project a daily maximum near that value under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. Afternoon observations have already reached 28–29°C, aligning with ensemble consensus and typical early September climatology for the region. With resolution dependent on the final verified reading, only an unexpected late-day surge in cloud cover, localized convection, or station-specific measurement variance could realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,680Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming 98.7% implied probability for a 29°C high in Seoul/Incheon on September 5 reflects converging official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models, which project a daily maximum near that value under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds. Afternoon observations have already reached 28–29°C, aligning with ensemble consensus and typical early September climatology for the region. With resolution dependent on the final verified reading, only an unexpected late-day surge in cloud cover, localized convection, or station-specific measurement variance could realistically shift the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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