Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely peak temperature near 33–34°C in Chengdu on September 7, aligning with the market's leading outcomes and reflecting moderate trader consensus on typical early-September conditions. Key variables include evolving upper-level patterns, monsoon moisture levels, and urban heat effects that can shift daily maxima by 1–2°C, with ensemble spreads highlighting uncertainty in exact afternoon peaks. Historical baselines show September averages around 30–32°C, but recent model runs suggest slight warming from clearer skies or reduced rainfall. Upcoming updates from official agencies will refine guidance on wind and cloud cover before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 7 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 7 de setembro?
34°C 35%
33°C 24%
35°C 17%
32°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
28°C ou menos
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
14%
33°C
24%
34°C
35%
35°C
17%
36°C
10%
37°C
10%
38°C ou mais
4%
34°C 35%
33°C 24%
35°C 17%
32°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
28°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$132 Vol.
2%
30°C
$132 Vol.
5%
31°C
$20 Vol.
8%
32°C
$0 Vol.
14%
33°C
$124 Vol.
24%
34°C
$192 Vol.
35%
35°C
$23 Vol.
17%
36°C
$27 Vol.
10%
37°C
$20 Vol.
10%
38°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely peak temperature near 33–34°C in Chengdu on September 7, aligning with the market's leading outcomes and reflecting moderate trader consensus on typical early-September conditions. Key variables include evolving upper-level patterns, monsoon moisture levels, and urban heat effects that can shift daily maxima by 1–2°C, with ensemble spreads highlighting uncertainty in exact afternoon peaks. Historical baselines show September averages around 30–32°C, but recent model runs suggest slight warming from clearer skies or reduced rainfall. Upcoming updates from official agencies will refine guidance on wind and cloud cover before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$669Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely peak temperature near 33–34°C in Chengdu on September 7, aligning with the market's leading outcomes and reflecting moderate trader consensus on typical early-September conditions. Key variables include evolving upper-level patterns, monsoon moisture levels, and urban heat effects that can shift daily maxima by 1–2°C, with ensemble spreads highlighting uncertainty in exact afternoon peaks. Historical baselines show September averages around 30–32°C, but recent model runs suggest slight warming from clearer skies or reduced rainfall. Upcoming updates from official agencies will refine guidance on wind and cloud cover before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$669Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely peak temperature near 33–34°C in Chengdu on September 7, aligning with the market's leading outcomes and reflecting moderate trader consensus on typical early-September conditions. Key variables include evolving upper-level patterns, monsoon moisture levels, and urban heat effects that can shift daily maxima by 1–2°C, with ensemble spreads highlighting uncertainty in exact afternoon peaks. Historical baselines show September averages around 30–32°C, but recent model runs suggest slight warming from clearer skies or reduced rainfall. Upcoming updates from official agencies will refine guidance on wind and cloud cover before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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