Latest weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a maximum temperature of 34–35°C in Chengdu on September 6, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited moisture influx typical of early autumn in the Sichuan Basin. Seasonal norms for the region average near 28–30°C, but recent multi-day warming trends and urban heat effects have elevated readings, aligning with the market-implied probabilities favoring 35°C at 46% and 34°C at 28.5%. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind patterns, with only low odds assigned to 36°C or higher. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 6 de setembro?
35°C 46%
34°C 29%
36°C 14%
33°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
10%
34°C
29%
35°C
46%
36°C
14%
37°C ou mais
1%
35°C 46%
34°C 29%
36°C 14%
33°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
27°C ou menos
$325 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$460 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$767 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$492 Vol.
2%
32°C
$192 Vol.
4%
33°C
$363 Vol.
10%
34°C
$1,397 Vol.
29%
35°C
$2,402 Vol.
46%
36°C
$1,036 Vol.
14%
37°C ou mais
$849 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a maximum temperature of 34–35°C in Chengdu on September 6, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited moisture influx typical of early autumn in the Sichuan Basin. Seasonal norms for the region average near 28–30°C, but recent multi-day warming trends and urban heat effects have elevated readings, aligning with the market-implied probabilities favoring 35°C at 46% and 34°C at 28.5%. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind patterns, with only low odds assigned to 36°C or higher. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$8,619Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a maximum temperature of 34–35°C in Chengdu on September 6, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited moisture influx typical of early autumn in the Sichuan Basin. Seasonal norms for the region average near 28–30°C, but recent multi-day warming trends and urban heat effects have elevated readings, aligning with the market-implied probabilities favoring 35°C at 46% and 34°C at 28.5%. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind patterns, with only low odds assigned to 36°C or higher. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,619Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest weather model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a maximum temperature of 34–35°C in Chengdu on September 6, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited moisture influx typical of early autumn in the Sichuan Basin. Seasonal norms for the region average near 28–30°C, but recent multi-day warming trends and urban heat effects have elevated readings, aligning with the market-implied probabilities favoring 35°C at 46% and 34°C at 28.5%. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind patterns, with only low odds assigned to 36°C or higher. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions